The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Tomayapo 35.9%
Draw 27.2%
Guabirá 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
27.4%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
27.8%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Tomayapo's form might have worsened.
Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guabirá's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Tomayapo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guabirá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Real Tomayapo - Guabirá Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guabirá (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Arauz G. (G) 2. Vera L. 5. Corulo L. 22. Ramallo D. 17. Bejarano M. (C) 7. Aviles M. 38. Cuiza S. 31. Barbery Gil M. G. 19. Pinto D. 9. Perez D. 6. Lima R.
25. Cuellar J. (G) 8. Arano C. P. 21. Portillo M. (C) 24. Robles D. 97. Gil S. 6. Anez C. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 29. Masskooni N. 27. Villarroel M. 35. Da Silva D. 50. Neto Acara
Substitutes
25. Arancibia A. (G) 35. Castillo J. 26. Choquetanga J. 28. Cordoba A. 42. Espindola Y. 11. Figueroa L. 55. Gatti F. 8. Mamani J. 33. Mamani K. 30. Montano Hilton J. 15. Orellana J. 4. Vaca G.
2. Barro J. 37. Chavez T. 12. Ferrel M. (G) 5. Moreno A. 32. Olguin G. 14. Parada J. 18. Pena A. 9. Rodriguez G. 10. Sanchez H. 23. Vargas L. 19. Velasco J.
Coaches
Cortes J.
Straccia M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Perez D. ⚽, Lima R. (A),
42', Lima R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
59', 2 - 0, Barbery Gil M. G. ⚽, Lima R. (A),
61', Arano C. P. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Villarroel M. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Robles D. ⚽, Anez C. (A),
66', Anez C. 🟨,
66', Pinto D. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
66', Lima R. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
69', Ramallo D. 🟨,
69', Aviles M. 🟨,
71', Ramallo D. ↓, Mamani J. ↑,
78', Vera L. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
78', Aviles M. ↓, Orellana J. ↑,
83', Da Silva D. ↓, Chavez T. ↑,
83', Villarroel M. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
87', Orellana J. 🟨,
87', Chavez T. 🟨,
90+2', Cuellar J. 🟨,
90+4', Gil S. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Corulo L. (Pen),
90+6', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
90+7', Robles D. 🟨,
90+7', Anez C. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 2.
Recent form of Tomayapo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Guabirá is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tomayapo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tomayapo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).