The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aurora 66.2%
Draw 19.8%
Real Tomayapo 14%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.8%
20.4%
14.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.6%
21%
14.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Aurora - Real Tomayapo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Cordano R. (G) 16. Barro L. 22. Velazquez J. 5. Amarilla A. 70. Torrico J. 7. Vaca H. 19. Sanchez E. 14. Sanchez H. 8. Viviani L. 10. Ramallo R. (C) 9. Rangel M.
1. Cardenas L. (G) 19. Robson 24. Robles D. 32. Suarez R. 17. Bejarano M. (C) 7. Arabe C. 8. Mamani J. 28. Wayar D. 14. Galvez V. 27. Ruan Costa 99. Cervantes A.
Substitutes
51. Abastoflor C. 32. Altamirano S. 6. Carrasco S. 18. Ferreira S. 27. Flores A. 23. Huayhuata I. 11. Mojica H. 20. Pacheco A. 69. Terrazas A. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 28. Vaca O. 4. Vidaurre I.
13. Barbery Gil M. G. 55. Barbieri G. 35. Castillo J. 36. Chavez J. 15. Guerra J. 33. Mamani K. 20. Padilla C. 21. Ramallo D. 64. Senzano J.
Coaches
Diaz D.
Alfonso J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Alfonso J. 🟨,
22', Vaca H. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Rangel M. ⚽, Ramallo R. (A),
42', Sanchez H. 🟨,
45+3', Suarez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Suarez R. ↓, Barbery Gil M. G. ↑,
46', Cervantes A. ↓, Padilla C. ↑,
50', Ramallo R. 🟨,
53', Barro L. 🟨,
61', Vaca H. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
68', Arabe C. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
72', Galvez V. 🟨,
75', Robson ↓, Ramallo D. ↑,
75', Wayar D. ↓, Mamani K. ↑,
82', Sanchez H. ↓, Huayhuata I. ↑,
82', Rangel M. ↓, Pacheco A. ↑,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 16th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Tomayapo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Aurora enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Aurora has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:14 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aurora against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 3:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1.5 per game).