Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 21

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Aurora		Real Tomayapo

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.4	4.65	6.3
	1.4	4.84	7.69
	4.38	4.11	1.67	Watch
	1.43	4.82	6.09	Watch
	1.49	4.15	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.49)	4.55 ↑ (4.15)	5.63 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
56.8%

Draw
23.9%

Real Tomayapo
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

22.2%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

21.3%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aurora's form might have worsened.

Real Tomayapo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aurora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Aurora - Real Tomayapo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aurora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Aurora will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Akologo D. (G) 21. Ballivian R. 7. Huayhuata I. 35. Justiniano G. 12. Torrico J. 23. Fernandez A. 6. Sejas C. 5. Amarilla A. 15. Viviani L. 8. Ramallo R. 69. Terrazas A.	25. Arancibia A. (G) 9. Perez D. 5. Corulo L. 16. Montero R. 17. Bejarano M. (C) 2. Vera L. 20. Aguilar F. 22. Ramallo D. 31. Barbery Gil M. G. 42. Espindola Y. 28. Cordoba A.
Substitutes
9. Blanco O. 17. Cornejo J. 33. Fabinho 27. Flores A. 55. Michel J. 20. Sanchez A. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 26. Torrico D. 3. Vaca O. 10. Verdun J. 16. Vidaurre I.	7. Aviles M. 36. Barrionuevo A. (G) 38. Cuiza S. 55. Gatti F. 6. Lima R. 33. Mamani K. 30. Montano Hilton J. 19. Pinto D. 4. Vaca G.
Coaches
Quiruchi D.	Sagman D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Huayhuata I. 🟥,
7', 0 - 1, Corulo L. (Pen),
30', Barbery Gil M. G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Viviani L. 🟨,
51', 0 - 2, Perez D. ⚽,
58', Perez D. 🟨,
60', Fernandez A. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
60', Ballivian R. ↓, Fabinho ↑,
64', Perez D. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
64', Barbery Gil M. G. ↓, Mamani K. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Viviani L. ⚽, Verdun J. (A),
69', Espindola Y. 🟨,
74', Espindola Y. ↓, Montano Hilton J. ↑,
74', Cordoba A. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
75', Ramallo D. ↓, Aviles M. ↑,
79', Ramallo R. 🟨,
82', Ramallo R. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
89', Terrazas A. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 0.

Aurora is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tomayapo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tomayapo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aurora is a strong favorite.

We predict that Aurora will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
16.09.25	Real Oruro - Aurora	5:3 ✺
13.09.25	Aurora - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Aurora	1:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.08.25	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Aurora	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Aurora - Blooming	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWW
- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.09.25	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
07.09.25	Real Tomayapo - Guabirá	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.08.25	Real Tomayapo - ABB	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
13.08.25	Always Ready - Real Tomayapo	6:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
09.08.25	Bolívar - Real Tomayapo	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
03.05.25	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	0:0
13.12.24	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	2:1
26.08.24	Aurora - Real Tomayapo	0:0
24.08.23	Aurora - Real Tomayapo	1:2
10.04.23	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	2:1
19.08.22	Real Tomayapo - Aurora	3:0
17.10.21	Aurora - Real Tomayapo	1:2

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