Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 22

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Jesús Bermúdez (Oruro)

Referee: Mamani R. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Real Oruro		Guabirá

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.62	4.05	4.35	Watch
	1.6	4.34	4.42
	1.97	3.74	3.39	Watch
	1.66	4.1	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.53)	4.07 ↓ (4.2)	4.23 ↓ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oruro
55.2%

Draw
22.9%

Guabirá
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

21.9%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

21.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	8.3%	58.3%

Real Oruro - Guabirá Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Real Oruro will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Guabirá will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guabirá: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guabirá (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zamora D. (G) 23. Villegas Y. 28. Alvarez E. 2. Vila J. (C) 77. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 17. Ortiz M. 22. Ribera C. 27. Zeballos S. 10. Ali L. 11. Gustavo Oliveira 19. Vallejos Y.	25. Cuellar J. (G) 5. Moreno A. 17. Barco C. 21. Portillo M. 6. Anez C. 24. Robles D. 7. Peredo G. 29. Masskooni N. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 50. Neto Acara 37. Chavez T.
Substitutes
5. Alessandrini A. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. 29. Castedo 97. Cuellar Orti R. 35. Fernandez D. 25. Hunacota Terceros R. (G) 18. Orihuela R. 30. Prieto J. 39. Vaca L. 8. Velasco W. 37. Vila L.	8. Arano C. P. 2. Barro J. 35. Da Silva D. 12. Ferrel M. (G) 97. Gil S. 45. Mina K. 32. Olguin G. 14. Parada J. 10. Sanchez H. 19. Velasco J. 27. Villarroel M.
Coaches
Robledo M.	Straccia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
18', Zeballos S. ↓, Vaca L. ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Gustavo Oliveira ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Peredo G. ⚽, Barco C. (A),
39', 1 - 2, Peredo G. ⚽, Barco C. (A),
44', 2 - 2, Ali L. ⚽,
45+1', Robles D. 🟨,
45+3', Ali L. 🟨,
45+4', Villegas Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
48', 3 - 2, Vallejos Y. ⚽, Ali L. (A),
54', Anez C. 🟨,
57', 3 - 3, Masskooni N. ⚽, Peredo G. (A),
58', Vaca L. 🟨,
63', Cuellar J. 🟨,
67', Vaca L. ↓, Bravo Adan A. F. ↑,
67', Villegas Y. ↓, Prieto J. ↑,
67', Chavez T. ↓, Da Silva D. ↑,
67', Neto Acara ↓, Gil S. ↑,
72', Moreno A. 🟨,
80', Ali L. ↓, Vila L. ↑,
80', Ali Gutierrez J. D. ↓, Castedo ↑,
82', Prieto J. 🟨,
83', 3 - 4, Anez C. ⚽,
86', 3 - 5, Peredo G. ⚽, Barco C. (A),
87', Peredo G. 🟨,
88', Vila J. 🟨,
90', Moreno A. ↓, Parada J. ↑,
90', Peredo G. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
90', Sanchez H. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 6, Parada J. ⚽, Barco C. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 7).

In recent matches, Real Oruro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guabirá is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Real Oruro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Oruro is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Oruro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.09.25	Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro	2:2 ✺
16.09.25	Real Oruro - Aurora	5:3 ✺
13.09.25	Oriente Petrolero - Real Oruro	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.25	Real Oruro - GVCD San José	4:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.08.25	Real Oruro - Independiente Petroleros	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWLWL
- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.09.25	Guabirá - The Strongest	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Bolívar - Guabirá	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
07.09.25	Real Tomayapo - Guabirá	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.08.25	Guabirá - Nacional Potosí	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
13.08.25	Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
10.05.25	Guabirá - Real Oruro	3:1

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