Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 4 June 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija)


	Real Tomayapo		Internacional RS

	1	X	2
	21	7	1.17	Watch
	14	7	1.19
	15	6.5	1.18	Watch
	16.5	6.87	1.18
	15.58	6.87	1.16
	15	7	1.12
	17	7.3	1.15	Watch
	16	6.2	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.26 ↑ (4.9)	6.84 ↑ (3.88)	1.17 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Tomayapo
5.8%

Draw
13.7%

Internacional RS
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

24.1%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22.4%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Tomayapo's form might have worsened.

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Internacional RS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Tomayapo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Internacional RS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Real Tomayapo - Internacional RS Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tomayapo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Internacional will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Arancibia A. (G) 20. Justiniano L. 30. Villamil J. 5. Corulo L. 24. Cantillo A. 15. Orellana J. 21. Noble M. 29. Graneros A. (C) 10. Maygua L. 22. Alcaraz A. 7. Aviles M.	12. Fabricio Santana (G) 16. Bustos F. 3. Igor Gomes 5. Fernando 6. Rene 27. Mauricio 15. Bruno Gomes 29. Thiago Maia 7. Hyoran 10. Alan Patrick (C) 31. Alario L.
Substitutes
36. Barrionuevo A. (G) 31. Castellon V. 35. Castillo J. 38. Cuiza S. 13. Ibanez J. 4. Maldonado D. 33. Mamani K. 32. Mendez R. 9. Orozco Quiroga J. N.	24. Anthoni (G) 26. Bernabei A. 8. Bruno Henrique 47. Gustavo Prado 45. Lucca 2. Mallo H. 41. Matheus Dias 25. Mercado G. 4. Robert Renan 40. Romulo 44. Vitao 21. Wesley Ribeiro
Coaches
Aran C.	Coudet E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Bruno Gomes ⚽, Hyoran (A),
41', Noble M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Maygua L. ↓, Cuiza S. ↑,
51', Orellana J. 🟨,
63', Villamil J. ↓, Orozco Quiroga J. N. ↑,
78', Alan Patrick ↓, Lucca ↑,
78', Mauricio ↓, Wesley Ribeiro ↑,
79', Hyoran ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
84', Orellana J. 🟨,
88', Aviles M. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
89', Alario L. (Pen),
90', 0 - 2, Alario L. ⚽,
90+1', Igor Gomes ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
90+6', Wesley Ribeiro 🟨,

Preview

Tomayapo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Internacional is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tomayapo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Internacional is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tomayapo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Tomayapo
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.24	Delfín - Real Tomayapo	4:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.05.24	Blooming - Real Tomayapo	1:0 ✺
22.05.24	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto	0:1 ✺
19.05.24	Bolívar - Real Tomayapo	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.24	Belgrano - Real Tomayapo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
01.06.24	Cuiabá - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.24	Internacional RS - Belgrano	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.04.24	Internacional RS - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Delfín - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
21.04.24	Athletico Paranaense - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
10.04.24	Internacional RS - Real Tomayapo	0:0

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