Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 4

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija)

Referee: Mendoza G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal


	Real Tomayapo		Universitario de Vinto

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	1.93	3	3.6
	2.1	3.15	3.5	Watch
	2.17	3.1	3.8
	2.17	2.96	3.75	Watch
	2.13	2.94	3.66	Watch
	2.1	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.05)	3.08 ↓ (3.55)	3.6 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Tomayapo
44.1%

Draw
30.1%

Universitario de Vinto
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tomayapo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arauz G. (G) 48. Torrez D. 5. Corulo L. 17. Bejarano M. 31. Barbery Gil M. G. 7. Aviles M. 15. Orellana J. 22. Ramallo D. 6. Lima R. 77. Minda T. 29. Fernandez B.	1. Gutierrez J. (G) 70. Esdras Mendoza 9. Tobar T. 6. Gimenez D. 11. Cuellar J. 20. Lujan P. 10. Castro R. 26. Lencinas J. 8. Camacho Almanza D. A. 28. Jose Pinto 90. Wagner
Substitutes
20. Aguilar F. 25. Arancibia A. (G) 18. Carabali E. 35. Castillo J. 23. Crescencio L. 42. Espindola Y. 33. Mamani K. 30. Montano Hilton J. 9. Perez D. 19. Pinto D. 27. Siles O. 12. Tomianovic M.	29. Aladesanmi K. 14. Alcocer P. 19. Alipaz J. 21. Cuellar G. 40. Garcia P. (G) 34. Jara A. 17. Lazarte J. 38. Magallanes J. 7. Nunez M. 15. Ribera C. 2. Valda D.
Coaches
Viviani Ribera H.	Thiago Leitao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Jose Pinto 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Corulo L. (Pen),
27', Aviles M. 🟨,
37', Lencinas J. 🟨,
41', Esdras Mendoza 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Esdras Mendoza ↓, Valda D. ↑,
46', Jose Pinto ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
46', Torrez D. ↓, Espindola Y. ↑,
58', Minda T. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
59', Aviles M. ↓, Siles O. ↑,
59', Fernandez B. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
68', Camacho Almanza D. A. ↓, Calicho J. ↑,
81', Wagner ↓, Aladesanmi K. ↑,
81', Lujan P. ↓, Alipaz J. ↑,
84', Lima R. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
87', Perez D. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Nunez M. ⚽, Aladesanmi K. (A),
90', Calicho J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomayapo won 1.

Recent matches Tomayapo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Uni de Vinto is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Uni de Vinto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tomayapo have a series of guest games.

Tomayapo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tomayapo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Tomayapo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.04.25	ABB - Real Tomayapo	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Real Tomayapo - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	GVCD San José - Real Tomayapo	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Nacional Potosí - Real Tomayapo	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
23.02.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 TWLTT
- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.04.25	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Vinto	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá	4:2 ✺
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
10.03.25	Bolívar - Universitario de Vinto	3:2 ✺
07.03.25	Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
18.10.24	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	2:1
22.05.24	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto	0:1
18.11.23	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	0:1
19.05.23	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto	0:2
09.10.22	Universitario de Vinto - Real Tomayapo	1:1
27.07.22	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto	4:0
15.04.22	Real Tomayapo - Universitario de Vinto	0:1

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