Match Info

BOLIVIA: Division Profesional - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio IV Centenario (Tarija)

Referee: Balboa M. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1


	Real Tomayapo		Real Santa Cruz

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.2	6
	1.4	4.5	7	Watch
	1.4	4.51	7
	1.44	4.41	6.85	Watch
	1.41	4.45	6.92	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	4.44 ↓ (4.47)	6.9 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Tomayapo
65.7%

Draw
20.9%

Real Santa Cruz
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

20.5%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

19.7%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Tomayapo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Real Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Real Santa Cruz aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Tomayapo - Real Santa Cruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Galindo P. (G) 38. Cuiza S. 5. Corulo L. 3. Carrasco J. 15. Orellana J. 7. Aviles M. 31. Barbery Gil M. G. 6. Villamil S. 8. Arano C. 29. Graneros A. 9. Becerra O.	1. Zamora D. (G) 22. Montero E. 4. Lopez B. 30. Suarez R. 41. Navarro S. 37. Mendoza G. 8. Pajoy J. 23. Pozo S. 29. Abastoflor C. 10. Caicedo J. 7. Moreno B.
Substitutes
22. Alcaraz A. 25. Arancibia A. (G) 37. Cardan M. 17. Figueroa L. 4. Maldonado D. 33. Mamani K. 10. Maygua L. 19. Pinto D. 2. Rioja J. 24. Sandoval S. 12. Tomianovic M. 30. Villamil J.	31. Cardenas I. 17. Lara J. 36. Ledezma O. (G) 39. Malgor G. 6. Ovando M. 2. Ruano L. 15. Rueda Bascope S. 21. Saldias L. 20. Vaca Hurtado E.
Coaches
Rubinich P.	Straccia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Abastoflor C. ⚽, Caicedo J. (A),
45+3', 1 - 1, Becerra O. (Pen),
45+4', Becerra O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Aviles M. 🟨,
57', Arano C. ↓, Maygua L. ↑,
65', Pajoy J. ↓, Vaca Hurtado E. ↑,
66', Aviles M. ↓, Tomianovic M. ↑,
66', Becerra O. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
66', Barbery Gil M. G. ↓, Cardan M. ↑,
70', Suarez R. 🟨,
72', Vaca Hurtado E. 🟨,
73', Abastoflor C. ↓, Ovando M. ↑,
73', Mendoza G. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
76', Montero E. 🟨,
77', Caicedo J. ↓, Malgor G. ↑,
82', Cuiza S. ↓, Figueroa L. ↑,
83', Orellana J. 🟨,
85', Navarro S. 🟨,
87', Lopez B. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Corulo L. (Pen),
89', Carrasco J. 🟨,
90+5', Malgor G. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomayapo won 3.

Tomayapo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Real Santa Cruz is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Santa Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tomayapo is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tomayapo won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Tomayapo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Tomayapo
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.08.24	Aurora - Real Tomayapo	0:0 ✺
18.08.24	Real Tomayapo - The Strongest	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Royal Pari - Real Tomayapo	0:2 ✺
07.08.24	Real Tomayapo - Independiente Petroleros	3:2 ✺
04.08.24	Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWWWL
- Real Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.09.24	Real Santa Cruz - Royal Pari	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Real Santa Cruz - Always Ready	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Independiente Petroleros - Real Santa Cruz	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Blooming - Real Santa Cruz	3:1 ✺
13.08.24	Guabirá - Real Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
07.04.24	Real Tomayapo - Real Santa Cruz	2:1
17.02.24	Real Santa Cruz - Real Tomayapo	1:2
17.07.23	Real Santa Cruz - Real Tomayapo	1:0
12.02.23	Real Tomayapo - Real Santa Cruz	1:0
30.09.22	Real Santa Cruz - Real Tomayapo	1:1
15.07.22	Real Tomayapo - Real Santa Cruz	1:2
01.11.21	Real Santa Cruz - Real Tomayapo	2:0

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