Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Real Unión de Irun		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.9	2.2
	2.95	2.95	2.25
	3.25	3.1	2.2
	3.31	3.05	2.31
	3.31	3.05	2.32
	3.22	3.13	2.22
	3.2	3	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.4)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)	2.24 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
28.6%

Draw
30.4%

Deportivo A Coruña
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.7%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Unión de Irun's form might have worsened.

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Real Unión de Irun - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Txusta (G) 19. Eimil V. 4. Montoro A. 15. Baz I. 17. Marquez J. 11. Oyarzun A. 16. Vidorreta A. 20. Solis A. 10. Rivero Q. 23. Cerda A. 7. Escobar A.	1. Mackay I. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Martinez P. 18. Balenziaga M. 8. Villares D. 6. Sevilla S. 7. Perez L. 20. Jurado J. 17. Rama H. 29. Ochoa M.
Substitutes
13. Agirre U. (G) 2. Arzak A. 8. Azkue J. 6. Beobide J. 21. Cordoba A. 22. Martinez J. 5. Perez I. 3. Riera R. 12. Ruiz P. 18. Santos M.	5. Barcia D. 14. Cayarga B. 11. Davo 35. Lopez R. 23. Navarro X. 26. Noriega J. 13. Parreno G. (G) 3. Retu 19. Sanchez J. 24. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 21. Valcarce P.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 10).

Real Unión is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Unión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Unión won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Celta de Vigo B - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Real Unión de Irun - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLWL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Covadonga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Sabadell - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.02.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Unión de Irun	1:2
09.10.21	Real Unión de Irun - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1

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