Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Unión de Irun		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.4	3.05	2.95
	2.45	3.08	3.02
	2.42	3.05	2.89	Watch
	2.41	3.06	2.93
	2.4	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.33)	3.03 ↑ (3.03)	2.91 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
38.2%

Draw
30.2%

Ponferradina
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

30.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

31.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 2. Santos S. 6. Quintana A. 5. Dominguez J. 24. Munroe F. 22. Garrido D. 10. Rivero Q. (C) 8. Bilbao I. 16. Vidorreta A. 7. Aranzabe A. 11. Obieta K.	1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 5. Lancho J. 18. Ramon A. 11. Mula A. 16. Lozano M. (C) 22. Esquerdo V. 24. Doue M. 15. Bustos A. 20. Costa A.
Substitutes
9. Benito A. 3. Carlos J. 17. Cayarga B. 19. Eimil V. 18. Lozano A. 25. Perez C. (G) 21. San Bartolome V. 20. Sergio Benito 1. Txusta (G)	25. Barredo P. (G) 9. Cabanzon Y. 21. Cortes J. 6. Fernandez B. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 12. Jurgens O. 10. Valle B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Costa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Aranzabe A. ↓, Sergio Benito ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Santos S. ⚽,
59', Carrique T. 🟨,
61', Mula A. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
63', Rivero Q. ↓, Benito A. ↑,
63', Obieta K. ↓, San Bartolome V. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Lancho J. ⚽,
71', Bustos A. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
71', Costa A. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Bilbao I. ⚽,
74', Dominguez J. 🟨,
79', Benito A. 🟨,
81', Doue M. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
81', Esquerdo V. ↓, Valle B. ↑,
82', Lancho J. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 12).

Real Unión is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Unión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Unión won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Unión de Irun	4:1 ✺
26.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
13.10.24	Real Unión de Irun - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	FC Andorra - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.11.24	Ponferradina - Zamora	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Escobedo - Ponferradina	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Leonesa - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
11.10.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.05.24	Ponferradina - Real Unión de Irun	2:1
22.10.23	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	1:1

Upcoming Matches