Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 5

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	Real Unión de Irun		Teruel

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	5
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.78	3.56	4.49
	1.72	3.38	4.9
	1.7	3.4	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.64)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	4.72 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
53.4%

Draw
27%

Teruel
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

27.1%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

25.9%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Real Unión de Irun - Teruel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Txusta (G) 5. Perez I. 4. Montoro A. 15. Baz I. 17. Marquez J. 14. Munoz I. 11. Oyarzun A. 20. Solis A. 6. Beobide J. 10. Rivero Q. 7. Escobar A.	1. Konate T. (G) 23. Pascual A. 2. Carmona F. 5. Gaixas A. 3. Hualde J. 6. Romero B. (C) 19. Villanueva D. 14. Castillo N. 30. Alastuey J. 11. Martinez B. 18. Gabarre A.
Substitutes
13. Agirre U. (G) 24. Arzak A. 8. Azkue J. 23. Cerda A. 21. Cordoba A. 19. Eimil V. 22. Martinez J. 3. Riera R. 36. Rodriguez O. (G) 12. Ruiz P. 18. Santos M. 16. Vidorreta A.	7. Ahn June Hyuk 10. Aparicio D. 9. Buenacasa A. 17. Correia R. 21. Facu 13. Rodriguez Heredia N. (G) 15. Sanchis V. 20. Sierra I. 8. Tena

Preview

Real Unión is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Teruel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Unión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Unión is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Real Unión to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.09.23	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	2:3 ✺
10.09.23	Real Unión de Irun - Rayo Majadahonda	4:0 ✺
03.09.23	Barcelona B - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Real Unión de Irun - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWW
- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.09.23	Teruel - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
10.09.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Teruel	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Teruel - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Lugo - Teruel	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Teruel - Utebo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTLW

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