Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Real Unión de Irun		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.37
	2.7	3	2.4
	2.95	2.75	2.55
	2.85	2.8	2.46
	3.17	2.83	2.53
	2.5	2.8	2.9
	2.94	2.93	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.4)	2.89 ↓ (3)	2.53 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
32.2%

Draw
31.7%

Ferrol
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

21.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Unión de Irun's form might have worsened.

Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferrol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Unión de Irun - Ferrol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 9).

Real Unión is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.12.21	Tudelano - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.21	Palencia CA - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.11.21	Real Unión de Irun - Zamora	2:0 ✺
21.11.21	SD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	0:2 ✺
13.11.21	Real Unión de Irun - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWT
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.12.21	Ferrol - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Albacete Balompié - Ferrol	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.11.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
19.11.21	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	5:0 ✺
14.11.21	Talavera de la Reina - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLWW

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