Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Unión de Irun		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.55
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.55	2.7	2.5
	2.67	2.96	2.67
	2.7	2.9	2.62
	2.64	3	2.65
	2.55	2.7	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.5)	2.87 ↑ (2.83)	2.57 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
34.1%

Draw
31.1%

Zamora
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

31.4%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

30.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Real Unión de Irun - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wright J. (G) 2. Santos S. 24. Munroe F. 6. Quintana A. 3. Marquez J. 21. San Bartolome V. 16. Vidorreta A. 10. Rivero Q. (C) 7. Aranzabe A. 20. Sergio Benito 11. Obieta K.	1. Sobron F. (G) 23. Campabadal E. 16. Gutierrez C. 6. Ramirez J. 3. Nieto S. 4. Claveria P. 10. Ramos C. 15. Lucero R. 14. Kike 20. Tresaco R. 17. Roni
Substitutes
8. Bilbao I. 17. Cayarga B. 19. Eimil V. 22. Garrido D. 4. Olaortua I. 25. Perez C. (G)	13. Altube D. (G) 5. Alvarez A. 22. Castaneda J. 2. Gorjon A. 7. Hernandez D. 18. Macho G. 21. Priego J. 24. Rivas L. 19. Speljak K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Roni ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Rivero Q. (Pen),
35', Kike (Pen),
41', Munroe F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lucero R. ↓, Priego J. ↑,
69', Aranzabe A. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
69', Tresaco R. ↓, Macho G. ↑,
76', Roni ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Kike ⚽,
81', Vidorreta A. ↓, Bilbao I. ↑,
81', Santos S. ↓, Eimil V. ↑,
82', Kike ↓, Castaneda J. ↑,
82', Ramos C. ↓, Gorjon A. ↑,
88', San Bartolome V. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Unión won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Unión won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Arenteiro - Real Unión de Irun	3:0 ✺
07.12.24	Real Unión de Irun - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Lugo - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Real Unión de Irun - Ourense CF	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.12.24	Zamora - Arenteiro	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Zamora	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Zamora - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.12.24	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.04.22	Zamora - Real Unión de Irun	0:1
27.11.21	Real Unión de Irun - Zamora	2:0

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