Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	Real de Minas		CD Marathón

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2
	3.2	3.1	2
	3.4	3.15	1.93
	3.56	3.15	1.93
	3.2	3.3	2
	3.44	3.46	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (4.42)	3.24 ↓ (3.6)	1.98 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real de Minas
26.9%

Draw
27.7%

CD Marathón
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

24.9%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

21.4%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real de Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real de Minas's performance.

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Marathón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real de Minas than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real de Minas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Marathón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real de Minas - CD Marathón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Real de Minas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marathón is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real de Minas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Marathón is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Real de Minas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Real de Minas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real de Minas FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
31.10.20	Real de Minas - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
28.10.20	Platense - Real de Minas	3:2 ✺
24.10.20	Real de Minas - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:3 ✺
18.10.20	Real de Minas - Motagua	0:3 ✺
14.10.20	Lobos UPNFM - Real de Minas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT
- CD Marathón
CONCACAF League
03.11.20	CD Marathón - Antigua GFC	2:1 penalties ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
31.10.20	Real España - CD Marathón	0:1 ✺
28.10.20	CD Marathón - Vida	0:2 ✺
25.10.20	Motagua - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Platense - CD Marathón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
30.01.20	CD Marathón - Real de Minas	3:0
16.10.19	Real de Minas - CD Marathón	0:1
27.07.19	CD Marathón - Real de Minas	2:0
27.04.19	Real de Minas - CD Marathón	0:2
03.03.19	CD Marathón - Real de Minas	2:1
21.10.18	Real de Minas - CD Marathón	3:1
25.08.18	CD Marathón - Real de Minas	3:1

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