Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Excelsior (Puerto Cortes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Platense		CD Marathón

	1	X	2
	3	3.15	2.15
	3.23	3.15	2.12
	3.14	3.32	2.22	Watch
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.12	3.33	2.23
	3.78	3.35	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.31)	3.22 ↓ (3.26)	2.12 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense
28.3%

Draw
28.4%

CD Marathón
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

27.7%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

27.9%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Platense - CD Marathón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flores B. (G) 22. Aguilar A. 3. Garcia E. (C) 57. Jasid Arzu Marin Y. 24. Jhonson P. 27. Norales R. 25. Pozantes S. 10. Puerto E. 23. Salinas M. 21. Santos B. 30. Solano E.	1. Rougier J. (G) 14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 3. Bodden K. 7. Castillo I. 79. Castillo R. 26. Elvir S. 56. Gaido C. 5. Martinez Hernandez F. E. 10. Ramirez D. (C) 21. Ramos O. 4. Rivera J.
Substitutes
32. Arriola Y. 29. Canelas J. 26. Castellanos C. 8. Castillo Y. . Espinoza S. 7. Flores R. 37. Nunez R. 20. Nunez Ramirez H. J. 16. Reyes M. 5. Rodriguez M. 14. Urbina E. 12. Welcome G.	19. Aguilera J. 35. Alvarado 2. Figueroa H. 11. Messiniti N. 13. Moya B. 22. Nunez M. 6. Orellana A. 30. Sacaza C. 23. Samudio C. (G) 8. Sorto Caballero T. A. 17. Vega Orellana A. N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Aguilar A. ↓, Urbina E. ↑,
25', Jasid Arzu Marin Y. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Puerto E. ⚽,
45+1', Morales A. 🟨,
45+2', Solano E. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Castillo R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Morales A. ↓, Welcome G. ↑,
48', Arriaga Chavez J. A. 🟨,
49', Gaido C. 🟨,
51', 2 - 1, Welcome G. ⚽,
59', Elvir S. 🟨,
61', Ramos O. ↓, Vega Orellana A. N. ↑,
61', Gaido C. ↓, Alvarado ↑,
69', Castillo I. ↓, Messiniti N. ↑,
69', Santos B. 🟨,
71', 3 - 1, Puerto E. ⚽,
80', Ramirez D. 🟨,
80', Martinez Hernandez F. E. 🟨,
85', Solano E. ↓, Castellanos C. ↑,
88', Bodden K. 🟨,
90+2', Welcome G. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 0.

Platense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marathón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marathón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Marathón is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Platense won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:42. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Platense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.8:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17
12	Platense	8	1	2	5	6:18	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

CD Marathón - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 44.95%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Platense
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.04.26	Choloma - Platense	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Platense - Motagua	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Victoria La Ceiba - Platense	2:3 ✺
12.03.26	Platense - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Olancho - Platense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
02.04.26	Real España - CD Marathón	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Juticalpa - CD Marathón	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	CD Marathón - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Choloma - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
12.02.26	CD Marathón - Platense	2:2
21.12.25	Platense - CD Marathón	2:2
18.12.25	CD Marathón - Platense	3:0
08.11.25	CD Marathón - Platense	1:0
11.09.25	Platense - CD Marathón	1:1
20.04.22	Platense - CD Marathón	1:0
20.01.22	CD Marathón - Platense	1:0

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