Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Real de Minas		Lobos UPNFM

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	2
	2.95	3.35	2
	3.35	3.35	1.86
	3.57	3.44	1.94
	3.68	3.58	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.68)	3.4 (3.4)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Real de Minas
26.9%

Draw
26.5%

Lobos UPNFM
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.6%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

21.5%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real de Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real de Minas than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real de Minas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lobos UPNFM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real de Minas - Lobos UPNFM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Real de Minas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lobos UPNFM is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lobos UPNFM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lobos UPNFM will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Real de Minas won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Real de Minas won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real de Minas FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
17.03.21	Platense - Real de Minas	1:1 ✺
11.03.21	Real de Minas - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:3 ✺
06.03.21	Real de Minas - Real Sociedad Tocoa	0:0 ✺
03.03.21	Real de Minas - Motagua	0:3 ✺
27.02.21	Lobos UPNFM - Real de Minas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTLL
- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
17.03.21	Lobos UPNFM - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:1 ✺
07.03.21	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	3:1 ✺
03.03.21	Honduras Progreso - Lobos UPNFM	0:3 ✺
27.02.21	Lobos UPNFM - Real de Minas	2:0 ✺
24.02.21	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
27.02.21	Lobos UPNFM - Real de Minas	2:0
31.10.20	Real de Minas - Lobos UPNFM	1:1
14.10.20	Lobos UPNFM - Real de Minas	2:2
07.03.20	Lobos UPNFM - Real de Minas	1:0
16.02.20	Real de Minas - Lobos UPNFM	1:0
03.11.19	Real de Minas - Lobos UPNFM	3:2
10.08.19	Lobos UPNFM - Real de Minas	1:0

Upcoming Matches