Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Ávila		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.6	2.4
	3.5	2.8	2.2
	3.9	2.8	2.19
	3.68	2.74	2.21	Watch
	3.1	2.7	2.3
	3.78	2.77	2.19
	3.5	2.8	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.18)	2.74 ↓ (2.97)	2.24 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
26%

Draw
33.3%

Cacereño
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

31.1%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

30%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Real Ávila - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Safrai ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 0, Rivas M. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

Real Ávila is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cacereño is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.05.25	Pontevedra - Real Ávila	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Real Ávila - Compostela	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Real Ávila - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Valladolid B - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Numancia - Real Ávila	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.05.25	Cacereño - Getafe B	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Navalcarnero - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Cacereño - Coria	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Illescas - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Cacereño - Conquense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWTW

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