Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Cacereño		Conquense

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.25	5.5
	1.58	3.25	5.5
	1.63	3.3	5.4
	1.62	3.31	5.87	Watch
	1.6	3.34	6.32
	1.63	3.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.74)	3.29 ↓ (3.33)	5.67 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
56.3%

Draw
27.6%

Conquense
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27.3%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.8%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Cacereño - Conquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Yoshimura Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Palacin P. ⚽,
59', 2 - 1, Sancho J. ⚽,
64', 3 - 1, Sancho J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).

Cacereño in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Conquense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Conquense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cacereño to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Cacereño - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Real Madrid C - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Cacereño	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWWW
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.03.25	Conquense - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	CD Guadalajara - Conquense	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Conquense - Melilla	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Atlético Paso - Conquense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Conquense - Colonia Moscardó	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.11.24	Conquense - Cacereño	1:4

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