Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Adolfo Suárez (Avila)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TPA Asturias


	Real Ávila		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	8	3.9	1.45
	7	4.1	1.5
	7	4	1.45	Watch
	7.7	4.01	1.44
	7.82	3.89	1.47	Watch
	7.5	4.2	1.36	Watch
	8.5	4.35	1.42
	7	4	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.57 ↑ (6.61)	4.06 ↑ (3.73)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
12.3%

Draw
23%

Real Oviedo
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.1%

25.1%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

26.4%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Real Ávila - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Pablo A. (G) 2. Doumbia I. 6. Safrai 21. Moreno A. G. 5. Pascual C. 11. Toper 19. Alpha M. 14. Martin A. 9. Rivas M. 7. Campos J. 22. Garrido Diaz F.	1. Braat Q. (G) 24. Ahijado L. 15. Luengo O. (C) 29. Vazquez J. 32. Lopes A. 23. Hassan H. 6. Sibo K. 27. Cardero A. 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 17. Masca
Substitutes
24. Caio Lopes 20. Carrion A. 12. Cassio Junior 13. Celada A. (G) 18. El Battioui A. 15. Llopis C. 3. Mendez P. 23. Vitolo	9. Alemao 12. Calvo D. 16. Chaira I. 11. Colombatto S. 2. Lemos A. 30. Marco Esteban 28. Miguelez S. 26. Narvaez M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Pascual C. 🟨,
21', Martin A. 🟨,
28', Safrai 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Doumbia I. ↓, Llopis C. ↑,
46', Safrai ↓, Vitolo ↑,
57', Garrido Diaz F. ↓, Carrion A. ↑,
58', Hassan H. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
58', Masca ↓, Colombatto S. ↑,
58', Lopes A. ↓, Lemos A. ↑,
68', Luengo O. ↓, Calvo D. ↑,
71', Campos J. ↓, Caio Lopes ↑,
76', Sibo K. ↓, Alemao ↑,
80', Alpha M. ↓, Ochoa D. ↑,
81', Moreno A. G. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
104', Calvo D. 🟨,
120+1', 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 0)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Oviedo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oviedo is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.10.24	Bergantiños - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Real Ávila - Coruxo	3:2 ✺
12.10.24	Real Avilés - Real Ávila	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Real Ávila - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Rayo Cantabria - Real Ávila	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLWW
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.24	Cádiz - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
22.10.24	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Málaga - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
13.10.24	Real Oviedo - Almería	3:2 ✺
06.10.24	Levante - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTWT

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