Match Info

LaLiga - Round 29

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3, New World Sport 4, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Levante		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.4
	2.38	3.15	3.2	Watch
	2.4	3.22	3.33
	2.35	3.23	3.21	Watch
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.4	3.26	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.11)	3.19 ↓ (3.47)	3.24 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
40.7%

Draw
29.9%

Real Oviedo
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

24.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	45.8%	25%

Levante - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Levante will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Oviedo will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 43.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.2% – 63.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Levante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 4. Dela (C) 3. Matturro A. 23. Sanchez M. 20. Rey O. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 17. Garcia V. 18. Losada I. 26. Tunde K. 19. Espi C.	13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 2. Bailly E. 4. Costas D. (C) 25. Lopez J. 6. Sibo K. 23. Fonseca N. 7. Chaira I. 5. Reina A. 15. Fernandez T. 9. Vinas F.
Substitutes
55. Abed T. 16. Arriaga K. 27. Cortes F. 1. Cunat P. (G) 21. Etta Eyong K. 10. Martinez P. 11. Morales J. 29. Perez N. 14. Raghouber U. 9. Romero I. 6. Varela Pampin D. 12. Vencedor U.	27. Agudin P. 3. Alhassane R. 12. Calvo D. 16. Carmo D. 8. Cazorla S. 11. Colombatto S. 34. Fernandez A. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 1. Moldovan H. (G)
Coaches
Castro L.	Almada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Espi C. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Espi C. ⚽,
38', Bailly E. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Chaira I. ⚽, Lopez J. (A),
45+3', 2 - 2, Vinas F. (Penalty Awarded),
45+6', Reina A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 3 - 2, Losada I. ⚽, Tunde K. (A),
55', Almada G. 🟨,
61', Losada I. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
64', Lopez J. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,
64', Fernandez T. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
64', Fonseca N. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
70', Sibo K. ↓, Colombatto S. ↑,
71', Tunde K. 🟨,
74', Rey O. 🟨,
75', Tunde K. ↓, Cortes F. ↑,
75', Espi C. ↓, Romero I. ↑,
76', Cazorla S. 🟨,
80', Reina A. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
84', Garcia V. ↓, Abed T. ↑,
84', Vidal N. ↓, Agudin P. ↑,
89', Olasagasti J. A. ↓, Arriaga K. ↑,
89', Rey O. ↓, Raghouber U. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 2, Romero I. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levante won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Levante is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Levante: Alvarez C. (Injury) Brugue R. (Knee Injury) Elgezabal U. (Knee Injury) Moreno M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Injury) Borbas T. (Injury) Dendoncker L. (Injury) Ejaria O. (Injury) Ilic L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Levante won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Levante won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Levante: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8:12	-4	5

Last Results with these Odds

Real Oviedo - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27.61%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
16.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Levante	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Levante - Girona	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Barcelona - Levante	3:0 ✺
18.02.26	Levante - Villarreal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWLL
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
14.03.26	Real Oviedo - Valencia	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
04.10.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
26.04.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	1:0
06.10.24	Levante - Real Oviedo	0:0
02.03.24	Real Oviedo - Levante	3:2
02.09.23	Levante - Real Oviedo	1:1
27.05.23	Levante - Real Oviedo	2:1
05.09.22	Real Oviedo - Levante	1:1

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