The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Málaga 31.4%
Draw 33.9%
Real Oviedo 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
30.4%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
30.8%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.5%
70.6%
5.9%
Málaga - Real Oviedo Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Oviedo will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 48.9% – 92.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 5. Pastor A. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 22. Lorenzo D. 12. Molina M. 29. Merino I. 10. Larrubia D. 17. Dioni 11. Villodres K.
13. Escandell A. (G) 15. Luengo O. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. 21. Pomares C. 8. Cazorla S. (C) 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 16. Chaira I. 9. Alemao 7. Moyano F.
Substitutes
9. Baturina R. 25. Castel S. 26. Cordero A. 6. Enriquez R. 2. Gabilondo J. 8. Juanpe 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 20. Monte N. 35. Ochoa A. 21. Rahmani Y. 18. Sanchez D.
24. Ahijado L. 3. Alhassane R. 27. Cardero A. 5. del Moral A. 23. Hassan H. 2. Lemos A. 17. Masca 26. Narvaez M. (G) 14. Paraschiv D. 20. Seoane J.
Coaches
Pellicer S.
Calleja J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Puga C. 🟨,
43', Pomares C. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Puga C. ↓, Gabilondo J. ↑,
46', Lorenzo D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
62', Cazorla S. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
62', Chaira I. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
63', Villodres K. ↓, Castel S. ↑,
76', Larrubia D. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
82', Moyano F. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
82', Alemao ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
83', Dioni ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
85', Luengo O. 🟨,
86', Castel S. 🟨,
90+9', Sibo K. 🟨,
90+13', Luengo O. 🟥,
90+14', Galilea E. (Pen),
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Málaga won 0.
Recent matches Málaga is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Oviedo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Oviedo: Vinas F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Málaga won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:8 (average 0.8:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.2:0.5).