Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Azevido (Rebordosa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Rebordosa		União Lamas

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	5.7
	1.56	3.46	5.65
	1.58	3.51	5.78	Watch
	1.53	3.3	5.75
	1.54	3.42	6.26
	1.55	3.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)	3.47 ↑ (3.36)	5.77 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebordosa
58.4%

Draw
26%

União Lamas
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.8%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebordosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

União Lamas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Lamas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Rebordosa - União Lamas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rebordosa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 9).

Rebordosa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

União Lamas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

União Lamas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rebordosa is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Rebordosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rebordosa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Uniao Lamas	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.01.26	Alpendorada - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Rebordosa - Cinfães	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Rebordosa - Florgrade	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Leça - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Rebordosa - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWTW
- CF União Lamas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.01.26	União Lamas - Aparecida	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Resende - União Lamas	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Salgueiros 08 - União Lamas	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	União Lamas - Beira-Mar	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Anadia - União Lamas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.08.25	União Lamas - Rebordosa	1:1

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