Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 16

Date: 29 November 2022, Tuesday


	Recanatese		Reggiana

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.95	1.9
	3.3	2.88	2.15
	3.75	2.85	1.98
	4.14	3	1.96
	4	2.88	1.95
	3.9	3.08	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.3)	2.95 ↑ (2.8)	1.98 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recanatese
23.7%

Draw
30.7%

Reggiana
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

32%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

33.1%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Reggiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.9%	13%	76.1%

Recanatese - Reggiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Recanatese will win (votes: 5 - 10.9%). Reggiana will win (votes: 35 - 76.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggiana: 63.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
26.11.22	Montevarchi - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Recanatese - Rimini	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Gubbio - Recanatese	1:3 ✺
05.11.22	Recanatese - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Alessandria - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TLWLW
- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
26.11.22	Reggiana - Rimini	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Sassari Torres - Reggiana	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Reggiana - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Virtus Entella - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.11.22	Reggiana - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTTL

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