The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Entella 48.1%
Draw 29.9%
Reggiana 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
29.9%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
28.2%
29.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Entella's performance.
Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reggiana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Entella that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reggiana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
28.6%
14.3%
Virtus Entella - Reggiana Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Reggiana will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Del Frate F. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 7. Bariti D. 24. Franzoni A. 5. Squizzato N. 32. Benedetti L. 26. Di Mario S. 17. Tirelli M. 10. Cuppone L.
1. Micai A. (G) 2. Papetti A. 14. Quaranta D. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 23. Rover M. 16. Reinhart T. 26. Bertagnoli M. 90. Portanova M. (C) 17. Libutti L. 80. Girma N. 9. Novakovich A.
Substitutes
3. Alborghetti M. 77. Boccadamo A. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 19. Debenedetti A. 57. Del Lungo T. 11. Guiu B. 8. Karic N. 4. Nichetti M. 80. Rinaldini R. (G) 99. Siaulys O. (G) 9. Stabile D. P. 46. Turicchia R.
57. Belardinelli L. 43. Bonetti S. 10. Bozhanaj K. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 8. Charlys 77. Fumagalli T. 93. Lambourde M. 44. Mendicino L. 55. Pasquoto Lucas 12. Seculin A. (G) 6. Vallarelli F. 34. Vicari F.
Coaches
Chiappella A.
Rubinacci L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Franzoni A. ⚽, Di Mario S. (A),
23', Libutti L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Papetti A. 🟨,
57', Novakovich A. 🟥,
61', Marconi I. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Marconi I. ⚽,
65', Micai A. 🟨,
68', Libutti L. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
68', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Charlys ↑,
70', Mateus Lusuardi 🟨,
76', Rover M. 🟨,
77', Benedetti L. 🟨,
78', Rover M. ↓, Vicari F. ↑,
78', Girma N. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
78', Marconi I. ↓, Alborghetti M. ↑,
79', Benedetti L. ↓, Karic N. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Cuppone L. ⚽, Karic N. (A),
84', Reinhart T. ↓, Lambourde M. ↑,
85', Bariti D. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
85', Franzoni A. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
86', Fumagalli T. 🟨,
89', Tirelli M. ↓, Stabile D. P. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 1.
In recent matches, Virtus Entella has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Reggiana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Reggiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Virtus Entella is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Virtus Entella: Del Frate F.
(Inactive)
Mezzoni F.
(Injury)
There will not play in Reggiana: Bozzolan A.
(Injury)
Paz Y.
(Knee Injury)
Rozzio P.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Reggiana: Gondo C.
(Inactive)
Vicari F.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Entella
6
1
3
2
8:7
1
6
Last Results with these Odds
Reggiana - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 27.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.