Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 15

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri (Montevarchi)


	Montevarchi		Recanatese

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.28	2.75	3.3
	2.19	2.85	3.2
	2.29	2.72	3.49
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.13	3.1	3.32	Watch
	2.2	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.78)	2.9 ↑ (2.9)	3.27 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
41.2%

Draw
31.1%

Recanatese
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

31%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montevarchi's performance.

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Recanatese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montevarchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recanatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montevarchi - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).

Montevarchi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Recanatese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montevarchi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
20.11.22	Imolese - Montevarchi	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Montevarchi - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Sassari Torres - Montevarchi	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.11.22	Virtus Entella - Montevarchi	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.22	Montevarchi - Cesena	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLLL
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
20.11.22	Recanatese - Rimini	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Gubbio - Recanatese	1:3 ✺
05.11.22	Recanatese - Fiorenzuola	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Alessandria - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Recanatese - Siena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches