Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV


	Real Madrid Castilla		Recreativo Huelva

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4
	1.85	3.2	3.75
	1.92	3.25	3.95
	1.96	3.29	4.1
	1.85	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.4
	1.87	3.34	4.03
	1.92	3.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.88)	3.27 ↑ (3.15)	4.04 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
49.2%

Draw
28.1%

Recreativo Huelva
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

29.1%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

30.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Recreativo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fran (G) 22. Jimenez D. 29. Rivas M. 28. Ribes K. 23. Yusi 9. Munoz V. 16. Antonio David 27. Fortuny P. 6. Andres C. 17. Ruiz D. 7. Garcia G.	1. Galvez R. (G) 18. Perejon D. 4. Serrano R. 22. Navas R. 3. Lopez A. 12. Nico Njalla 14. Del Pozo D. 10. Dominguez A. 8. Luis Alcalde 23. Soto D. 15. Armero S.
Substitutes
26. De Llanos H. 25. de Luis M. (G) 2. Lorenzo 35. Ortega J. 33. Perea C. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 37. Valdepenas V.	20. Becken C. 11. Bekkouche C. 16. Caballero P. 21. Camara M. 13. Centurion G. (G) 17. Cerrudo J. 5. Galvez A. 19. Garcia Perez J. L. 6. Keita B. 24. Moreno Meca C. 9. Quintana C. 7. Romero P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Serrano R. ⚽,
45+1', Yusi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Munoz V. ⚽,
63', Nico Njalla ↓, Quintana C. ↑,
63', Soto D. ↓, Bekkouche C. ↑,
63', Jimenez D. 🟨,
73', Armero S. ↓, Caballero P. ↑,
73', Luis Alcalde ↓, Garcia Perez J. L. ↑,
78', Serrano R. 🟨,
83', Serrano R. ↓, Cerrudo J. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 2.

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recreativo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recreativo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.12.24	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD	6:0 ✺
24.11.24	Fuenlabrada - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Antequera	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Intercity	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTLW
- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.12.24	Recreativo Huelva - Intercity	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Antequera - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Recreativo Huelva - Hércules	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Recreativo Huelva - Algeciras	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.04.24	Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0
30.09.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
15.03.14	Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla	2:3
12.10.13	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	1:2
13.04.13	Recreativo Huelva - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3
12.11.12	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	0:1

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