Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Villarreal B		Marbella

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5
	2.05	3.05	3.6
	2.05	3.22	3.7	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.5
	2.04	2.98	3.66
	1.96	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.92)	3.04 ↓ (3.26)	3.59 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
44.9%

Draw
29.9%

Marbella
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

28.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Villarreal B - Marbella Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Marbella will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal B (votes: 1 - 50%). Marbella (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez R. (G) 2. Budesca D. 4. Sierra I. 6. Spatz L. M. 3. Ortiz E. 26. Gaitan J. 8. Diatta A. 15. Tidiane Thiam C. 7. Moreno V. (C) 30. Garcia A. 9. Rubio A.	13. Vassilev D. (G) 12. Fattore V. 4. Punal A. (C) 23. Escassi A. 3. Martinez A. 11. Boussefiane H. 6. Lopez A. 8. Eugeni 25. Munoz L. 20. Cambra J. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
20. Curro 36. El Jmili N. 14. Fores A. 5. Gil F. 25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 11. Lopez H. 16. Pascual P. 21. Rodriguez I. 23. Valou J.	5. Acosta L. 2. Alvarez J. 18. Du Yuezheng 30. Guzman T. 27. Haruna M. 10. Luis Alcalde 19. Ohemeng E. 21. Palacin P. 16. Ruiz A. 22. Toper

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Rubio A. ⚽,
24', 3 - 0, Budesca D. ⚽,
35', Munoz L. ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
35', Rodri ↓, Ohemeng E. ↑,
35', Lopez A. ↓, Guzman T. ↑,
35', Punal A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 🟨,
55', Martinez A. 🟨,
56', Moreno V. 🟨,
64', Diatta A. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
64', Garcia A. ↓, Pascual P. ↑,
67', Tidiane Thiam C. 🟥,
71', 3 - 1, Eugeni ⚽,
77', Boussefiane H. ↓, Palacin P. ↑,
83', Gaitan J. ↓, El Jmili N. ↑,
90', Rubio A. ↓, Gil F. ↑,
90+5', Guzman T. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Villarreal B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marbella is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Villarreal B is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Villarreal B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Villarreal B	6	4	1	1	12:6	6	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.12.25	Algeciras - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Villarreal B - Teruel	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Villarreal B	0:3 ✺
21.11.25	Villarreal B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTLWT
- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.12.25	Marbella - Hércules	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Marbella	1:1 ✺
10.12.25	Marbella - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Marbella - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Sevilla B - Marbella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.03.25	Marbella - Villarreal B	0:2
08.12.24	Villarreal B - Marbella	1:1

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