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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Salzburg 53.1%
Draw 23.3%
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 23.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.6%
20.7%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.3%
20.6%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Salzburg's performance.
Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crvena Zvezda Belgrade might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-17.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Salzburg that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+20.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crvena Zvezda Belgrade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Red Bull Salzburg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions
1. Schlager A. (G) 27. Alajbegovic K. 20. Baidoo E. 5. Diabate S. 23. Gadou J. 8. Kitano S. 19. Konate K. 13. Kratzig F. 2. Rasmussen J. 37. Trummer T. 49. Yeo M. K.
1. Matheus (G) 89. Arnautovic M. 21. Elsnik T. 10. Katai A. 33. Krunic R. 37. Lucic V. 7. Milson 5. Rodrigo 66. Seol Young-Woo 23. Tiknizyan N. 13. Veljkovic M.
Substitutes
43. Aguilar E. 7. Bischoff C. . Chase A. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) . Kjaergaard M. 25. Lukic O. 9. Onisiwo K. 31. Sarcevic N. (G) . Zabransky V.
71. Avdic A. 80. Babicka S. 6. Bajo M. 17. Bruno Duarte 18. Glazer O. (G) 45. Gudelj S. 77. Gutesa I. (G) 20. Handel T. 22. Kostov V. 25. Lekovic S. 49. Radonjic N. 24. Stankovic N. 40. Zaric L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Krunic R. (Own goal),
29', 2 - 0, Baidoo E. ⚽, Yeo M. K. (A),
43', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Konate K. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
54', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
61', Kitano S. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
61', Schlager A. ↓, Hamzic S. ↑,
61', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
68', Rodrigo 🟨,
70', Diabate S. ↓, Diambou M. ↑,
70', Baidoo E. ↓, Aguilar E. ↑,
70', Yeo M. K. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,
75', Rodrigo ↓, Gudelj S. ↑,
75', Elsnik T. ↓, Handel T. ↑,
75', Katai A. ↓, Kostov V. ↑,
76', Trummer T. 🟨,
81', Milson ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
81', Rasmussen J. ↓, Zabransky V. ↑,
81', Gadou J. ↓, Chase A. ↑,
86', Lucic V. ↓, Stankovic N. ↑,
Preview
Neutral location.
Recent performances by Salzburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Crvena Zvezda is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Crvena Zvezda has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
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Schlager A. (G) 
Alajbegovic K. 
Baidoo E. 
Diabate S. 
Gadou J. 
Kitano S. 
Konate K. 
Kratzig F. 
Rasmussen J. 
Matheus (G) 
Elsnik T. 
Katai A. 
Milson 
Seol Young-Woo 
Tiknizyan N. 
Aguilar E. 
Lukic O. 
Babicka S. 
Bajo M. 
Glazer O. (G) 
Handel T. 
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