Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Red Bull Salzburg		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
	2.58	4.25	2.1
	1.15	7.50	13.49	Watch
	2.56	4.2	2.12	Watch
	2.6	4.33	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.62)	5.07 ↑ (4.5)	4.98 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
53.1%

Draw
23.3%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

20.7%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

20.5%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Salzburg's performance.

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crvena Zvezda Belgrade might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Salzburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (+20.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crvena Zvezda Belgrade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Red Bull Salzburg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schlager A. (G) 27. Alajbegovic K. 20. Baidoo E. 5. Diabate S. 23. Gadou J. 8. Kitano S. 19. Konate K. 13. Kratzig F. 2. Rasmussen J. 37. Trummer T. 49. Yeo M. K.	1. Matheus (G) 89. Arnautovic M. 21. Elsnik T. 10. Katai A. 33. Krunic R. 37. Lucic V. 7. Milson 5. Rodrigo 66. Seol Young-Woo 23. Tiknizyan N. 13. Veljkovic M.
Substitutes
43. Aguilar E. 7. Bischoff C. . Chase A. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) . Kjaergaard M. 25. Lukic O. 9. Onisiwo K. 31. Sarcevic N. (G) . Zabransky V.	71. Avdic A. 80. Babicka S. 6. Bajo M. 17. Bruno Duarte 18. Glazer O. (G) 45. Gudelj S. 77. Gutesa I. (G) 20. Handel T. 22. Kostov V. 25. Lekovic S. 49. Radonjic N. 24. Stankovic N. 40. Zaric L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Krunic R. (Own goal),
29', 2 - 0, Baidoo E. ⚽, Yeo M. K. (A),
43', Veljkovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Konate K. ↓, Bischoff C. ↑,
54', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
61', Kitano S. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
61', Schlager A. ↓, Hamzic S. ↑,
61', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
68', Rodrigo 🟨,
70', Diabate S. ↓, Diambou M. ↑,
70', Baidoo E. ↓, Aguilar E. ↑,
70', Yeo M. K. ↓, Lukic O. ↑,
75', Rodrigo ↓, Gudelj S. ↑,
75', Elsnik T. ↓, Handel T. ↑,
75', Katai A. ↓, Kostov V. ↑,
76', Trummer T. 🟨,
81', Milson ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
81', Rasmussen J. ↓, Zabransky V. ↑,
81', Gadou J. ↓, Chase A. ↑,
86', Lucic V. ↓, Stankovic N. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent performances by Salzburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crvena Zvezda is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Crvena Zvezda has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
14.12.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Wolfsberger	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
06.12.25	Blau-Weiss Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Rheindorf Altach - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWT
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Club Friendly
11.01.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Debreceni	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Aarau	4:1 ✺
06.01.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Waldhof Mannheim	2:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
20.12.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Mladost Lučani	4:0 ✺
15.12.25	Bačka Topola - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
29.08.18	Red Bull Salzburg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:2
21.08.18	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Red Bull Salzburg	0:0

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