Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Canal+, RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	RTL, RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab


	Freiburg		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	1.42	5	6.5
	1.42	5	7.5
	1.43	4.99	7.2
	1.41	4.92	7.45	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6.5
	1.46	5.13	6.67
	1.42	4.75	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	4.91 ↑ (4.78)	6.93 ↑ (6.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Freiburg
66.9%

Draw
19.4%

Red Bull Salzburg
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

19.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

19.3%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	7.7%	12.8%

Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Salzburg (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Freiburg (2.00) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (31 of 39 users predict this - 79.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.82% – 92.16%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Salzburg (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 3. Lienhart P. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. 20. Adamu J.	1. Schlager A. (G) 22. Lainer S. 23. Gadou J. 2. Rasmussen J. 3. Terzic A. 18. Bidstrup M. (C) 5. Diabate S. 20. Baidoo E. 11. Vertessen Y. 7. Bischoff C. 21. Ratkov P.
Substitutes
27. Hofler N. 9. Holer L. 24. Huth J. (G) 22. Irie C. 5. Jung A. 17. Kubler L. 33. Makengo J. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 43. Ogbus B. 6. Osterhage P. 7. Scherhant D.	43. Aguilar E. 27. Alajbegovic K. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 19. Konate K. 13. Kratzig F. 25. Lukic O. 9. Onisiwo K. 38. Sulzbacher V. 37. Trummer T. 49. Yeo M. K. 52. Zawieschitzky C. (G)
Coaches
Schuster J.	Hesse K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Ratkov P. 🟥,
45+1', Lainer S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bischoff C. ↓, Trummer T. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Lienhart P. ⚽,
63', Diabate S. ↓, Yeo M. K. ↑,
70', Treu P. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
70', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
76', Vertessen Y. ↓, Alajbegovic K. ↑,
76', Baidoo E. ↓, Konate K. ↑,
78', Grifo V. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
78', Lienhart P. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
80', Kubler L. 🟨,
85', Manzambi J. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
89', Lainer S. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
90', Suzuki Y. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Salzburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Freiburg is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A. (Inactive) Gourna-Douath L. (Inactive) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Kjaergaard M. (Calf Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Inactive) Sulzbacher V. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Muscle Injury) Irie C. (Illness) Makengo J. (Muscle Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Salzburg: Douglas Mendes (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
06.12.25	Heidenheim - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Freiburg - Darmstadt	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.11.25	Freiburg - Mainz	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWTL
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
06.12.25	Blau-Weiss Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Rheindorf Altach - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Swarovski Tirol	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLLT

Upcoming Matches