Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Cashpoint-Arena (Altach)

Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
World	Onefootball


	Rheindorf Altach		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.98	3.25	2.32
	3.22	3.45	2.36
	4.29	3.57	1.84	Watch
	3.37	3.36	2.29	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (4.08)	3.36 ↓ (3.53)	2.23 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rheindorf Altach
28.6%

Draw
28.5%

Red Bull Salzburg
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

26.4%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.4%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rheindorf Altach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rheindorf Altach's performance.

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Salzburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rheindorf Altach than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rheindorf Altach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Salzburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	18.2%	40.9%

Rheindorf Altach - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Altach will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Salzburg will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altach: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Altach (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Salzburg (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stojanovic D. (C) 25. Ingolitsch S. 23. Zech B. 15. Koller P. 29. Ouedraogo M. 27. Milojevic F. 14. Oswald M. 8. Bahre M. 28. Massombo Y. 9. Mustapha S. 10. Diawara O.	1. Schlager A. (G) 37. Trummer T. 44. Schuster J. 23. Gadou J. 13. Kratzig F. 27. Alajbegovic K. 5. Diabate S. 18. Bidstrup M. (C) 7. Bischoff C. 11. Vertessen Y. 21. Ratkov P.
Substitutes
13. Casali T. (G) 6. Demaku V. 40. Fetahu A. 18. Greil P. 5. Gugganig L. 11. Hrstic S. 17. Jager L. 12. Lukacevic L. 26. Yalcin E.	43. Aguilar E. 20. Baidoo E. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 19. Konate K. 9. Onisiwo K. 2. Rasmussen J. 3. Terzic A. 49. Yeo M. K.
Coaches
Ingolitsch F.	Letsch T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Ratkov P. ⚽,
23', Diabate S. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Koller P. ⚽, Massombo Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bischoff C. ↓, Yeo M. K. ↑,
59', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Baidoo E. ↑,
60', Milojevic F. ↓, Jager L. ↑,
73', Mustapha S. ↓, Hrstic S. ↑,
73', Oswald M. ↓, Demaku V. ↑,
73', Diawara O. ↓, Fetahu A. ↑,
76', Vertessen Y. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
80', Bidstrup M. 🟨,
83', Diabate S. ↓, Konate K. ↑,
85', Zech B. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altach won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Altach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Salzburg might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Altach: Demaku V. (Broken collarbone) Piffer P. (Injury) Tietietta S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Salzburg: Gourna-Douath L. (Inactive) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Onisiwo K. (Muscle Injury) Zawieschitzky C. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Altach won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:44. (average 0.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Altach won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.81%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rheindorf Altach
Austrian Bundesliga
22.11.25	Rheindorf Altach - Wolfsberger	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.25	Rheindorf Altach - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
09.11.25	LASK Linz - Rheindorf Altach	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Grazer AK - Rheindorf Altach	3:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
28.10.25	Kapfenberger SV - Rheindorf Altach	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLLW
- Red Bull Salzburg
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Swarovski Tirol	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Go Ahead Eagles	2:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Ried	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
19.10.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Rheindorf Altach	2:2
09.03.25	Rheindorf Altach - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1
19.10.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Rheindorf Altach	2:1
28.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Rheindorf Altach	3:0
29.07.23	Rheindorf Altach - Red Bull Salzburg	0:2
19.03.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Rheindorf Altach	1:1
08.10.22	Rheindorf Altach - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3

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