Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	16:00	ESPN 4
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Canal+
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	16:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	ESPN 4
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257
Kosovo	21:00	ART Motion Sport 1
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 6
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 3
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 9
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Vietnam	02:00	TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Red Bull Salzburg		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.9
	1.87	3.8	3.8
	1.9	3.85	3.95	Watch
	1.91	3.98	3.99
	1.92	4.01	3.79	Watch
	1.91	3.8	3.9
	1.92	4.04	3.99
	1.9	3.85	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.72)	3.89 ↓ (4.15)	3.91 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
50.7%

Draw
24.7%

Dinamo Zagreb
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

26.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.8%	23.5%	14.7%

Red Bull Salzburg - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 40 - 60.6%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 10 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 48.8% – 72.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Schlager A. (G) 70. Dedic A. (C) 91. Piatkowski K. 6. Baidoo S. 3. Terzic A. 18. Bidstrup M. 15. Diambou M. 14. Kjaergaard M. 28. Daghim A. 19. Konate K. 30. Gloukh O.	33. Nevistic I. (G) 22. Ristovski S. 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 6. Bernauer M. 4. Torrente R. 25. Sucic P. 27. Misic J. 5. Ademi A. (C) 10. Baturina M. 17. Kulenovic S. 3. Ogiwara T.
Substitutes
8. Bajcetic S. 4. Blank H. 1. Blaswich J. (G) 7. Capaldo N. 10. Clark B. 27. Gourna-Douath L. 29. Guindo D. 25. Lukic O. 36. Mellberg J. 39. Morgalla L. 45. Nene D. 5. Okoh B.	19. Cordoba J. 11. Hoxha A. 8. Kacavenda L. 21. Mbuku N. 13. Mmaee S. 9. Petkovic B. 18. Pierre-Gabriel R. 20. Pjaca M. 30. Rog M. 77. Spikic D. 7. Stojkovic L. 1. Zagorac D. (G)
Coaches
Lijnders P.	Jumic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Bidstrup M. 🟨,
31', Dedic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Ristovski S. (A),
58', Daghim A. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
58', Bidstrup M. ↓, Capaldo N. ↑,
58', Diambou M. ↓, Bajcetic S. ↑,
59', Ademi A. ↓, Rog M. ↑,
66', Schlager A. 🟥,
69', Gloukh O. ↓, Blaswich J. ↑,
73', Piatkowski K. 🟨,
77', Ogiwara T. ↓, Pierre-Gabriel R. ↑,
77', Kulenovic S. ↓, Petkovic B. ↑,
82', Lijnders P. 🟨,
82', Terzic A. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Petkovic B. ⚽, Ristovski S. (A),
88', Sucic P. ↓, Stojkovic L. ↑,
88', Baturina M. ↓, Kacavenda L. ↑,
90', Rog M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salzburg won 2.

Recent matches Salzburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dinamo Zagreb is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Salzburg is a favorite.

There will not play in Salzburg: Fernando (Thigh Injury) Guindo D. (Foot Injury) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Nene D. (Muscle Injury) Ratkov P. (Muscle Injury) Yeo M. K. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Nevistic I. (Back Injury) Peric D. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Salzburg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 2.2:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Salzburg won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
19.10.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Rheindorf Altach	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Brest	0:4 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
28.09.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Wien	2:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
25.09.24	Wiener Viktoria - Red Bull Salzburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWW
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
19.10.24	Istra 1961 - Dinamo Zagreb	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Monaco	2:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
28.09.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Lokomotiva Zagreb	5:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
25.09.24	Banjole - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
11.10.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1
05.10.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Dinamo Zagreb	1:0
24.08.16	Red Bull Salzburg - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ET
16.08.16	Dinamo Zagreb - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1
UEFA Europa League
06.11.14	Dinamo Zagreb - Red Bull Salzburg	1:5
23.10.14	Red Bull Salzburg - Dinamo Zagreb	4:2

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