Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 4
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	CANAL+ Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 5
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	DAZN 5
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Dinamo Zagreb		Monaco

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.57
	5	4.33	1.6
	5.25	4.4	1.62
	5.33	4.41	1.63
	5.09	4.38	1.64	Watch
	5	4.33	1.62
	5.24	4.53	1.66
	5.25	4.4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (4.4)	4.39 ↑ (3.88)	1.62 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
18.6%

Draw
21.9%

Monaco
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

24.7%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

24.6%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	5.7%	81.8%

Dinamo Zagreb - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (70 of 86 users predict this - 81.4%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.18% – 89.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nevistic I. (G) 22. Ristovski S. 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 6. Bernauer M. 4. Torrente R. 18. Pierre-Gabriel R. 25. Sucic P. 27. Misic J. 5. Ademi A. (C) 10. Baturina M. 9. Petkovic B.	16. Kohn P. (G) 2. Vanderson 5. Kehrer T. 22. Salisu M. 12. Caio Henrique 6. Zakaria D. (C) 15. Camara L. 11. Akliouche M. 18. Minamino T. 10. Golovin A. 36. Embolo B.
Substitutes
19. Cordoba J. 23. Filipovic I. (G) 11. Hoxha A. 8. Kacavenda L. 17. Kulenovic S. 21. Mbuku N. 3. Ogiwara T. 20. Pjaca M. 30. Rog M. 77. Spikic D. 1. Zagorac D. (G)	9. Balogun F. 7. Ben Seghir E. 27. Diatta K. 21. Ilenikhena G. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 88. Magassa S. 1. Majecki R. (G) 8. Matazo E. 13. Mawissa Elebi C. 20. Ouattara K. 17. Singo W. 4. Teze J.
Coaches
Bjelica N.	Hutter A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Salisu M. 🟨,
26', Petkovic B. 🟨,
28', Embolo B. 🟨,
38', Ademi A. 🟨,
42', Baturina M. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Sucic P. ⚽, Baturina M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Embolo B. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
46', Golovin A. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
63', Ademi A. ↓, Rog M. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Baturina M. ⚽, Rog M. (A),
72', Vanderson ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
72', Camara L. ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Salisu M. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
75', Baturina M. ↓, Kacavenda L. ↑,
80', Caio Henrique ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
82', Kacavenda L. 🟨,
82', Bjelica N. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Zakaria D. (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Dinamo Zagreb is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monaco is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dinamo Zagreb could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Monaco have a series of home games.

In this match Monaco is a favorite.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Mmaee S. (Thigh Injury) Peric D. (Knee Injury) Perkovic M. (Knee Injury) Stojkovic L. (Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Coulibaly M. (Knee Injury) Diop E. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Theophile-Catherine K. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
28.09.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Lokomotiva Zagreb	5:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
25.09.24	Banjole - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
21.09.24	Slaven Belupo - Dinamo Zagreb	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.24	Bayern Munich - Dinamo Zagreb	9:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
13.09.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWLLL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
28.09.24	Monaco - Montpellier	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Monaco - Le Havre	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.24	Monaco - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.09.24	Auxerre - Monaco	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Monaco - Lens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWT

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