Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	16:00	ESPN 4
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	16:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	ESPN 4
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Stod 2 Sport 5
India	00:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 5
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, M+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Usa	15:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Vietnam	02:00	TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Dinamo Zagreb		Monaco

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.57
	5	4.33	1.6
	5.25	4.4	1.62
	5.33	4.41	1.63
	5.09	4.38	1.64	Watch
	5	4.33	1.62
	5.24	4.53	1.66
	5.25	4.4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (4.4)	4.39 ↑ (3.88)	1.62 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
18.6%

Draw
21.9%

Monaco
59.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.8%

24.7%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

24.6%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	5.7%	81.8%

Dinamo Zagreb - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: Monaco will win (70 of 86 users predict this - 81.4%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.18% – 89.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nevistic I. (G) 22. Ristovski S. 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 6. Bernauer M. 4. Torrente R. 18. Pierre-Gabriel R. 25. Sucic P. 27. Misic J. 5. Ademi A. (C) 10. Baturina M. 9. Petkovic B.	16. Kohn P. (G) 2. Vanderson 5. Kehrer T. 22. Salisu M. 12. Caio Henrique 6. Zakaria D. (C) 15. Camara L. 11. Akliouche M. 18. Minamino T. 10. Golovin A. 36. Embolo B.
Substitutes
19. Cordoba J. 23. Filipovic I. (G) 11. Hoxha A. 8. Kacavenda L. 17. Kulenovic S. 21. Mbuku N. 3. Ogiwara T. 20. Pjaca M. 30. Rog M. 77. Spikic D. 1. Zagorac D. (G)	9. Balogun F. 7. Ben Seghir E. 27. Diatta K. 21. Ilenikhena G. 50. Lienard Y. (G) 88. Magassa S. 1. Majecki R. (G) 8. Matazo E. 13. Mawissa Elebi C. 20. Ouattara K. 17. Singo W. 4. Teze J.
Coaches
Bjelica N.	Hutter A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Salisu M. 🟨,
26', Petkovic B. 🟨,
28', Embolo B. 🟨,
38', Ademi A. 🟨,
42', Baturina M. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Sucic P. ⚽, Baturina M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Embolo B. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
46', Golovin A. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
63', Ademi A. ↓, Rog M. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Baturina M. ⚽, Rog M. (A),
72', Vanderson ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
72', Camara L. ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Salisu M. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
75', Baturina M. ↓, Kacavenda L. ↑,
80', Caio Henrique ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
82', Kacavenda L. 🟨,
82', Bjelica N. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Zakaria D. (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Dinamo Zagreb is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monaco is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dinamo Zagreb could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Monaco have a series of home games.

In this match Monaco is a favorite.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Mmaee S. (Thigh Injury) Peric D. (Knee Injury) Perkovic M. (Knee Injury) Stojkovic L. (Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Coulibaly M. (Knee Injury) Diop E. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Dinamo Zagreb: Theophile-Catherine K. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
28.09.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Lokomotiva Zagreb	5:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
25.09.24	Banjole - Dinamo Zagreb	1:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
21.09.24	Slaven Belupo - Dinamo Zagreb	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.24	Bayern Munich - Dinamo Zagreb	9:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
13.09.24	Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWLLL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
28.09.24	Monaco - Montpellier	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Monaco - Le Havre	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.24	Monaco - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.09.24	Auxerre - Monaco	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Monaco - Lens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWT

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