Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Fesnic H. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Red Bull Salzburg		Milan

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.60	1.91
	3.70	3.60	1.98
	3.85	3.60	1.93
	4.14	3.62	1.94
	3.76	3.93	1.96	Watch
	4.05	3.50	1.92
	4.17	3.66	1.90
	3.90	3.75	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (3.95)	3.66 ↓ (3.87)	1.93 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
24.3%

Draw
26.2%

Milan
49.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.9%

24.4%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

25.4%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	4.2%	79.2%

Red Bull Salzburg - Milan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Salzburg (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Milan will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Milan (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Zawieschitzky C. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 44. Boma K. 47. Zabransky V. 31. Schmid D. 32. Barry A. 15. Mazurek B. 35. Lindstrom J. 8. Kitano S. 20. Baidoo E. 9. Tabakovic H. (C)	16. Maignan M. (C) 23. Tomori F. 5. De Winter K. 31. Pavlovic S. 20. Hutchinson O. 30. Jashari A. 12. Rabiot A. 33. Bartesaghi D. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 70. Cisse A. 73. Camarda F.
Substitutes
33. Camara A. 30. Diakite G. 21. Drexler T. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 13. Kratzig F. 22. Lainer S. 4. Mellberg J. 23. Redzic D. 41. Sarcevic N. (G) 7. Tohumcu U. 11. Vertessen Y.	21. Chukwueze S. 28. Comotto C. 13. Diawara S. 2. Estupinan P. 34. Gila M. 14. Modric L. 22. Moreira D. 80. Musah Y. 11. Pulisic C. 9. Ramos G. 42. Terracciano F. 96. Torriani L. (G)
Coaches
Rohl D.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Cisse A. ⚽, Hutchinson O. (A),
21', Hutchinson O. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Cisse A. ⚽, Bartesaghi D. (A),
40', Zabransky V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 3, Cisse A. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
60', Kitano S. ↓, Diakite G. ↑,
60', Baidoo E. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
60', Cisse A. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
60', Camarda F. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
61', Rabiot A. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
67', Tomori F. ↓, Terracciano F. ↑,
72', 0 - 4, Ramos G. ⚽,
73', Lindstrom J. ↓, Redzic D. ↑,
73', Tabakovic H. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
81', Pavlovic S. ↓, Diawara S. ↑,
81', Morgalla L. ↓, Drexler T. ↑,
83', Terracciano F. 🟥,

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Milan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Milan holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Salzburg: Aguilar E. (Muscle Injury) Chase A. (Off the roster) Matijasevic F. (Off the roster) Moser J. (Off the roster) Omoregie J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Veratschnig N. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Milan: Gabbia M. (Thigh Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Salzburg: Drexler T. (Illness) Morgalla L. (Illness) Redzic D. (Ankle Injury) Zawieschitzky C. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Salzburg has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:5 (averaging 0.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Salzburg against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	AC Milan	2	1	0	1	4:2	2	3
19	Salzburg	2	1	0	1	1:4	-3	3

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

AC Milan: 7.76% Salzburg: 1.19%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
10.10.26	Grazer AK - Red Bull Salzburg	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Blau-Weiss Linz	1:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Levski Sofia - Red Bull Salzburg	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
11.09.26	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWWT
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Sassuolo - Milan	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Milan - Lecce	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Milan - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Lazio - Milan	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Juventus - Milan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
02.11.22	Milan - Red Bull Salzburg	4:0
06.09.22	Red Bull Salzburg - Milan	1:1

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