Match Info

Serie A - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2, Sport 1
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Milan		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.6
	2.18	3.25	3.45	Watch
	2.21	3.36	3.63
	2.27	3.13	3.69	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.26	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)	3.31 ↓ (3.43)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
43.8%

Draw
28.9%

Atalanta
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

27.5%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.5%	20.4%	11.1%

Milan - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 37 - 68.5%). Atalanta will win (votes: 6 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 56.1% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Atalanta (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Atalanta (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Atalanta (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 5. De Winter K. 46. Gabbia M. 31. Pavlovic S. 56. Saelemaekers A. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 4. Ricci S. 12. Rabiot A. 33. Bartesaghi D. 7. Gimenez S. 10. Leao R.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 59. Zalewski N. 17. De Ketelaere C. 18. Raspadori G. 90. Krstovic N.
Substitutes
24. Athekame Z. 2. Estupinan P. 19. Fofana Y. 9. Fullkrug N. 30. Jashari A. 18. Nkunku C. 27. Odogu D. 37. Pittarella M. (G) 1. Terracciano P. (G)	69. Ahanor H. 5. Bakker M. 16. Bellanova R. 3. Kossounou O. 6. Musah Y. 40. Obric R. 8. Pasalic M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 10. Samardzic L. 9. Scamacca G. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 7. Sulemana K. 45. Vavassori D.
Coaches
Allegri M.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Ederson ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Zappacosta D. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
34', Leao R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
48', Scalvini G. ↓, Kossounou O. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Raspadori G. ⚽, Ederson (A),
55', Zappacosta D. ↓, Bellanova R. ↑,
58', Leao R. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
58', Gimenez S. ↓, Fullkrug N. ↑,
58', De Winter K. ↓, Athekame Z. ↑,
63', Kossounou O. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
63', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
70', Hien I. 🟨,
80', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Estupinan P. ↑,
88', 1 - 3, Pavlovic S. ⚽, Ricci S. (A),
90', Estupinan P. 🟨,
90', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 3, Nkunku C. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Krstovic N. 🟨,
90+6', Bellanova R. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Milan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Milan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Milan: Modric L. (Broken cheekbone) Tomori F. (Red Card)

There will not play in Atalanta: Bernasconi L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 7.76% Atalanta: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10:4	6	11
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Milan - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.75%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
03.05.26	Sassuolo - Milan	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Milan - Juventus	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Verona - Milan	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Milan - Udinese	0:3 ✺
06.04.26	Napoli - Milan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWLL
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
02.05.26	Atalanta - Genoa	0:0 ✺
27.04.26	Cagliari - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
22.04.26	Atalanta - Lazio	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
18.04.26	Roma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Atalanta - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
28.10.25	Atalanta - Milan	1:1
20.04.25	Milan - Atalanta	0:1
06.12.24	Atalanta - Milan	2:1
25.02.24	Milan - Atalanta	1:1
Coppa Italia
10.01.24	Milan - Atalanta	1:2
Italian Serie A
09.12.23	Atalanta - Milan	3:2
26.02.23	Milan - Atalanta	2:0

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