Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports 1
Asia	—	Q League Asia, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	22:00	Begin
Belarus	19:00	Sport TV
Belgium	18:00	DAZN 1
Bolivia	12:00	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	23:00	MyTV
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network, TLN, VIVA
China	00:00	Migu
Colombia	11:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Ecuador	11:00	ESPN 2
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:00	DAZN France
Georgia	20:00	Silk Sport 3
Germany	18:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
India	21:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	23:00	ANTV, Vidio
Iraq	19:00	Almanasa
Israel	19:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	18:00	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	19:00	Shasha
Macao	00:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	21:00	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:00	VG+
Paraguay	13:00	ESPN 2
Peru	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	19:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	19:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	18:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Suriname	13:00	SCCN
Sweden	18:00	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Tunisia	17:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	19:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Milan		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.20	5.00	Watch
	1.63	4.20	4.80
	1.62	4.00	4.80	Watch
	1.67	4.23	5.52
	1.75	3.96	4.81	Watch
	1.65	4.10	5.15
	1.67	4.26	4.79
	1.62	4.40	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.88)	4.17 ↑ (3.67)	5.01 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
57.9%

Draw
23%

Atalanta
19.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.6%

25.9%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

25.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milan's performance.

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	5.3%	5.3%

Milan - Atalanta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Atalanta (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.65) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Milan (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Milan (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - AC Milan (1.70) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Milan will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Milan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Milan (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Atalanta (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (C) 34. Gila M. 5. De Winter K. 31. Pavlovic S. 21. Chukwueze S. 80. Musah Y. 14. Modric L. 22. Moreira D. 12. Rabiot A. 9. Ramos G. 11. Pulisic C.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 16. Bellanova R. 31. Kristensen T. 23. Kolasinac S. 47. Bernasconi L. 10. Samardzic L. 13. Ederson (C) 8. Pasalic M. 17. De Ketelaere C. 90. Krstovic N. 11. Rowe J.
Substitutes
33. Bartesaghi D. 41. Bouyer L. P. (G) 73. Camarda F. 70. Cisse A. 28. Comotto C. 13. Diawara S. 2. Estupinan P. 20. Hutchinson O. 30. Jashari A. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 42. Terracciano F. 23. Tomori F. 96. Torriani L. (G) 35. Vladimirov V.	70. Gaetano G. 41. Idele J. 40. Obric R. 53. Plaia M. 45. Pounga D. K. 9. Scamacca G. 51. Sonzogni M. (G) 57. Sportiello M. (G) 59. Zalewski N. 77. Zappacosta D.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Kolasinac S. ↓, Obric R. ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Ramos G. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Rabiot A. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Rabiot A. ⚽, Moreira D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', Chukwueze S. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
57', Ramos G. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 3 - 0, Gila M. ⚽, Rabiot A. (A),
59', Pasalic M. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
59', Rowe J. ↓, Zalewski N. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Gaetano G. ⚽, Zalewski N. (A),
69', Ederson 🟨,
75', Bernasconi L. ↓, Zappacosta D. ↑,
75', Samardzic L. ↓, Scamacca G. ↑,
75', Pulisic C. ↓, Jashari A. ↑,
75', Musah Y. ↓, Estupinan P. ↑,
75', Modric L. ↓, Loftus-Cheek R. ↑,
78', Obric R. 🟨,
81', 3 - 2, Krstovic N. ⚽, Bellanova R. (A),
84', Gila M. ↓, Tomori F. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 0.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this matchup, Milan is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Milan: Gabbia M. (Thigh Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Ankle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Atalanta: Elmas E. (Red Card) Hien I. (Muscle Injury) Kessie F. (Calf Injury) Kossounou O. (Thigh Injury) Scalvini G. (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Atalanta: Bellanova R. (Thigh Injury) Raspadori G. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana K. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Milan has recorded 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:32 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Milan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:15 goals (averaging 1.1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan	9	5	3	1	18:11	7	18
12	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	14:15	-1	10

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

AC Milan: 5.12% Atalanta: 0.5%

Last Results with these Odds

Milan - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 50.62%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Milan	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Sassuolo - Milan	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Milan - Lecce	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Milan - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Lazio - Milan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWLT
- Atalanta
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Atalanta - Paphos	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.10.26	Atalanta - Venezia	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Juventus - Atalanta	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Roma - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
10.05.26	Milan - Atalanta	2:3
28.10.25	Atalanta - Milan	1:1
20.04.25	Milan - Atalanta	0:1
06.12.24	Atalanta - Milan	2:1
25.02.24	Milan - Atalanta	1:1
Coppa Italia
10.01.24	Milan - Atalanta	1:2
Italian Serie A
09.12.23	Atalanta - Milan	3:2

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