Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 6
Malta	TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Cinemax, HBO Max, MAX
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 6
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	SportsMax 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ 360
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, SportsMax App


	Red Bull Salzburg		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	12	6.5	1.22
	10.5	6.75	1.24
	13	7.1	1.22
	12.31	7	1.25
	11.59	6.79	1.25	Watch
	13	6.5	1.22
	13	7.21	1.24
	13	7.1	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.3 ↑ (7.16)	6.87 ↑ (5.19)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
7.8%

Draw
14%

Paris Saint-Germain
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

18.5%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

17.5%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Bull Salzburg's form might have worsened.

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris Saint-Germain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	5.4%	90.3%

Red Bull Salzburg - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (83 of 91 users predict this - 91.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.39% – 97.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Schlager A. (G) 7. Capaldo N. 70. Dedic A. (C) 6. Baidoo S. 29. Guindo D. 18. Bidstrup M. 27. Gourna-Douath L. 49. Yeo M. K. 30. Gloukh O. 45. Nene D. 21. Ratkov P.	1. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 17. Vitinha 87. Neves J. 8. Ruiz F. 19. Lee Kang-In 9. Ramos G. 29. Barcola B.
Substitutes
8. Bajcetic S. 4. Blank H. 10. Clark B. 28. Daghim A. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 16. Kawamura T. 36. Mellberg J. 62. Oelz V. (G) 5. Okoh B. 3. Terzic A.	11. Asensio M. 35. Beraldo L. 14. Doue D. 21. Hernandez L. 23. Kolo Muani R. 39. Safonov M. (G) 37. Skriniar M. 80. Tenas A. (G) 42. Zague Y. 33. Zaire-Emery W.
Coaches
Lijnders P.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Ramos G. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
35', Guindo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
57', Ratkov P. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
57', Yeo M. K. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
66', Gourna-Douath L. ↓, Bajcetic S. ↑,
66', Ramos G. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Mendes N. ⚽, Doue D. (A),
72', Ruiz F. ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
75', Capaldo N. 🟨,
80', Gloukh O. ↓, Terzic A. ↑,
80', Bidstrup M. ↓, Kawamura T. ↑,
83', Mendes N. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Doue D. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Salzburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match PSG is certain favorite.

There will not play in Salzburg: Fernando (Thigh Injury) Kjaergaard M. (Ankle Injury) Konate K. (Knee Injury) Morgalla L. (Hip Injury) Piatkowski K. (Knock)

There will not play in PSG: Dembele O. (Red Card) Kimpembe P. (Convalescence) Mayulu S. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Salzburg: Blaswich J. (Calf Injury) Terzic A. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
07.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	2:2 ✺
04.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	4:0 ✺
30.11.24	Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Red Bull Salzburg	5:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.24	Red Bull Salzburg - LASK Linz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TWTLL
- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
06.12.24	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.24	Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Angers - Paris Saint-Germain	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLWW

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