Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 26

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)


	Paris Saint-Germain		Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.17	7.5	15
	1.16	7.4	18.5	Watch
	1.17	8.54	15.22
	1.19	8.08	14.27	Watch
	1.17	7	13
	1.19	8.6	18	Watch
	1.22	6.6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.24)	7.67 ↑ (5.57)	15 ↑ (12.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
81.1%

Draw
12.5%

Nantes
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.7%

16.8%

7.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paris Saint-Germain's performance.

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	7.1%	3.6%

Paris Saint Germain - Nantes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - PSG (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 6. Zabarnyi I. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 87. Neves J. 4. Beraldo L. 27. Fernandez D. 14. Doue D. 10. Dembele O. 7. Kvaratskhelia K.	1. Lopes A. (C) 22. Acapandie M. 24. Guilbert F. 2. Ali Youssef 3. Cozza N. 27. Machado D. 8. Lepenant J. 28. Sissoko I. 66. Leroux L. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 10. Abline M.
Substitutes
29. Barcola B. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 21. Hernandez L. 19. Lee Kang-In 24. Mayulu S. 49. Mbaye I. 51. Pacho W. 9. Ramos G. 8. Ruiz F.	6. Awaziem C. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 52. Deuff B. 72. Doucoure S. 19. El Arabi Y. 37. Ganago I. 11. Guirassy B. 26. Radakovic U. 17. Tabibou D.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Halilhodzic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. (Penalty Awarded),
35', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Doue D. ⚽, Hakimi A. (A),
41', Zabarnyi I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guilbert F. 🟨,
50', 3 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
60', Neves J. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
60', Hakimi A. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
60', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Mayulu S. ↑,
65', Leroux L. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
65', Mostafa Mohamed ↓, Ganago I. ↑,
65', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
65', Dembele O. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
73', Lepenant J. ↓, Deuff B. ↑,
79', Acapandie M. ↓, Awaziem C. ↑,
80', Abline M. ↓, El Arabi Y. ↑,

Preview

Postponed due to european competitions.

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3.

PSG is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nantes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.

In this match, PSG is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nantes: Tati T. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:16. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.5:0.8).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 70.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	PSG	5	2	2	1	8:7	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
19.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.04.26	Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Liverpool	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.04.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
19.04.26	Nantes - Brest	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Auxerre - Nantes	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Metz - Nantes	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Nantes - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Nantes - Angers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.08.25	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1
22.04.25	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
30.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	1:1
17.02.24	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
09.12.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	2:1
04.03.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	4:2
03.09.22	Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3

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