Match Info

Bundesliga - Championship Group - Round 25

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Hartberg (Hartberg)

Referee: Barmaksiz S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
World	Onefootball


	Hartberg		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.53	Watch
	5.4	3.95	1.58
	6.24	4.25	1.57
	5.83	4.1	1.57	Watch
	5	3.9	1.57
	5.67	4.02	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.61 ↑ (5.04)	4.02 ↓ (4.09)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartberg
16.8%

Draw
23.4%

Red Bull Salzburg
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

23.1%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

22.4%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	36.4%	63.6%

Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Hartberg (5.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.35) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hartberg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Hulsmann T. (G) 28. Heil J. (C) 18. Wilfinger F. 19. Spendlhofer L. 6. Coulibaly H. 33. Hennig M. 4. Markus B. 30. Fridrikas L. 23. Kainz T. 79. Drew J. 7. Havel E.	1. Schlager A. (G) 21. Drexler T. 23. Gadou J. 44. Schuster J. 3. Terzic A. 18. Bidstrup M. (C) 13. Kratzig F. 20. Baidoo E. 8. Kitano S. 11. Vertessen Y. 19. Konate K.
Substitutes
61. Aziz M. 5. Diarra Y. 16. Golles J. 8. Halwachs J. 1. Helac A. (G) 22. Hoffmann M. 95. Kovacevic D. 25. Ojukwu E. 2. Pazourek L.	43. Aguilar E. 27. Alajbegovic K. 5. Diabate S. 15. Diambou M. 14. Kjaergaard M. 22. Lainer S. 9. Onisiwo K. 52. Zawieschitzky C. (G)
Coaches
Schmid M.	Beichler D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Havel E. ⚽, Drew J. (A),
36', Konate K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Drexler T. ↓, Lainer S. ↑,
46', Kratzig F. ↓, Alajbegovic K. ↑,
51', Lainer S. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Konate K. ⚽,
58', 1 - 2, Kitano S. ⚽, Baidoo E. (A),
59', Schmid M. 🟨,
62', Drew J. ↓, Hoffmann M. ↑,
62', Hennig M. ↓, Pazourek L. ↑,
62', Fridrikas L. ↓, Aziz M. ↑,
70', Terzic A. 🟨,
70', Baidoo E. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
74', Hulsmann T. 🟨,
79', Kainz T. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
83', Spendlhofer L. 🟥,
88', Konate K. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
90+4', Kitano S. ↓, Diabate S. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 0.

In recent matches, Hartberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salzburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Salzburg is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Hartberg: Komposch P. (Knee Injury) Schopp K. (Red Card)

There will not play in Salzburg: Chase A. (Red Card) Kawamura T. (Knee Injury) Lainer S. (Hamstring Injury) Mellberg J. (Knee Injury) Omoregie J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Hartberg: Vincze D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hartberg won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 14:65. (average 0.7:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartberg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:33. (average 0.6:3).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Salzburg: 53.42% Hartberg: 0.56%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Salzburg	8	5	3	0	18:4	14	18
7	Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10:13	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 58.07%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Hartberg
Austrian Bundesliga
22.03.26	Hartberg - Austria Wien	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	LASK Linz - Hartberg	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Hartberg - Blau-Weiss Linz	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Hartberg - Grazer AK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTTTW
- Red Bull Salzburg
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.03.26	Sturm Graz - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Rapid Wien - Red Bull Salzburg	1:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
04.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Rheindorf Altach	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
01.03.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	0:0
16.08.25	Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2
04.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	4:0
30.11.24	Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1
12.05.24	Hartberg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:5
17.03.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	5:1
25.11.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	3:2

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