Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 19

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football
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Israel	5 PLUS Israel
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World	Onefootball


	Auxerre		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	8	5	1.38	Watch
	9.3	5.9	1.29	Watch
	8.96	5.2	1.38
	9.32	5.28	1.36	Watch
	8	4.6	1.36
	8.66	5.09	1.39	Watch
	9.5	4.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.82 ↑ (8.57)	5.12 ↓ (5.49)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
10.9%

Draw
18.7%

Paris Saint-Germain
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

17.2%

71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.5%

16.4%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.2%	10.8%	80%

Auxerre - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - under (votes: 6 - 66.7%) .

AH +1.5 - Auxerre (1.86) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (51 of 64 users predict this - 79.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.83% – 89.55%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 3 - 10.7%). PSG (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (C) 27. Sy L. 20. Diomande S. 29. Senaya M. 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 17. El Azzouzi O. 8. Ahamada N. 5. Danois K. 10. Sinayoko L. 19. Namaso D.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. 6. Zabarnyi I. 4. Beraldo L. 21. Hernandez L. 49. Mbaye I. 17. Vitinha (C) 24. Mayulu S. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 9. Ramos G. 29. Barcola B.
Substitutes
7. Casimir J. 21. Coulibaly L. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 28. Faivre R. 9. Mara S. 34. Matondo R. 22. Oppegard F. 42. Owusu E.	10. Dembele O. 14. Doue D. 60. James M. (G) 89. Marin R. (G) 5. Marquinhos 45. Nsoki N. 51. Pacho W.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ahamada N. ↓, Matondo R. ↑,
61', Mbaye I. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
62', Ramos G. ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
72', Beraldo L. 🟨,
79', 0 - 1, Barcola B. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
85', Diomande S. ↓, Owusu E. ↑,
85', Sy L. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
90+1', Danois K. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
90+1', Namaso D. ↓, Mara S. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 0.

Auxerre is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

PSG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, PSG has had a series of home games.

In this match, PSG is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Auxerre: Namaso D. (Illness) Sierralta F. (Injury)

There are questionable in PSG: Hakimi A. (Personal Reasons) Lee Kang-In (Thigh Injury) Neves J. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz F. (Injury) Safonov M. (Broken Hand)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 72.41% Auxerre: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	PSG	5	2	2	1	8:7	1	8
11	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7:12	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
17.01.26	Lens - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Brest - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Auxerre - Monaco	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Auxerre - Lille	3:4 ✺
07.12.25	Auxerre - Metz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLLW
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
12.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
French Super Cup
08.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	3:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
27.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre	2:0
17.05.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre	3:1
06.12.24	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0
21.05.23	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
13.11.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre	5:0
Coupe De France
30.05.15	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1
French Ligue 1
15.04.12	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1

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