Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 34

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)


	Red Star		Épinal

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.75	6.5
	1.36	5	7
	1.36	5.4	7.13
	1.37	5.4	7.13
	1.3	5	7
	1.35	5.08	7.04	Watch
	1.35	4.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.48)	5.06 ↑ (4.39)	6.89 ↑ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
68.4%

Draw
18.2%

Épinal
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

19.3%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Star's performance.

Épinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Star that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Épinal than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Red Star - Épinal Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Star will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonet P. (G) 29. Benali H. 17. Botella I. 35. Doucoure R. 7. Durand D. 8. Eickmayer J. 5. Gozzi P. 3. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 28. Kouagba L. 25. Ndoye C.	30. Hatier L. (G) 10. Bennekrouf K. 9. Chambon H. 6. Chere S. (C) 18. Godart Y. 7. Labissiere B. 5. Laurent M. 2. Leonard P. 14. Sarr S. 15. Umbdenstock I. 19. Vallon A.
Substitutes
27. Anani A. 13. Doucoure F. 21. El Hriti A. 36. Kany V. 4. Mendy B.	13. Aloe B. 34. Corvino L. 33. Coulibaly D. 16. Salhi D. (G) 38. Touir R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Bokele Mputu M. ⚽, Labissiere B. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Sarr S. ⚽,
30', Chambon H. 🟨,
34', 1 - 2, Ndoye C. ⚽, Botella I. (A),
40', 2 - 2, Eickmayer J. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 2, Benali H. ⚽, Kouagba L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Gozzi P. ↓, El Hriti A. ↑,
57', Kouagba L. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
58', Hachem R. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
68', Ndoye C. ↓, Anani A. ↑,
69', Benali H. ↓, Kany V. ↑,
80', 4 - 2, Botella I. ⚽, Durand D. (A),
86', Laurent M. 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Red Star is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 2

Épinal is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Red Star won 4.

Red Star is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Épinal is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Red Star is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Red Star won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
10.05.24	Orleans - Red Star	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Red Star - Versailles	1:2 ✺
29.04.24	Nîmes - Red Star	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Red Star - Dijon	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Red Star	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Épinal FC
French Ligue 3
10.05.24	Épinal - Villefranche	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Épinal - Orleans	0:0 ✺
26.04.24	Châteauroux - Épinal	1:4 ✺
19.04.24	Épinal - Versailles	0:1 ✺
12.04.24	Avranches - Épinal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
11.08.23	Épinal - Red Star	1:2
07.04.15	Épinal - Red Star	2:4
29.08.14	Red Star - Épinal	3:0
17.05.13	Épinal - Red Star	2:1
12.01.13	Red Star - Épinal	2:0

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