Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)


	Red Star		Dijon

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.75	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.79	3.79	4.55
	1.75	3.79	4.55
	1.7	3.6	4.2
	1.73	3.69	4.34	Watch
	1.76	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.74)	3.64 ↓ (3.72)	4.31 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
53.2%

Draw
25.4%

Dijon
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

25.1%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

23.9%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Dijon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Red Star - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Star will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 29. Benali H. 17. Botella I. 11. Cisse K. 26. Dembi F. J. 13. Doucoure F. 35. Doucoure R. 8. Eickmayer J. 3. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 2. Meyapya B.	40. Risser R. (G) 34. Ariss Z. 18. Drouhin A. 29. Etoga L. 2. Fofana A. 31. Hamada B. 33. Irie C. 36. Messi R. 25. Moco Z. 11. Nassi W. 5. Temanfo A.
Substitutes
27. Anani A. 7. Durand D. 21. El Hriti A. 9. Fall A. 25. Ndoye C.	17. Chahid Y. 20. Fdaouch Z. 22. N'Chobi Y. 8. Schur K. 6. Souici R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Moco Z. ⚽, Nassi W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dembi F. J. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Irie C. ⚽, Fofana A. (A),
60', Benali H. ↓, Anani A. ↑,
60', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Ndoye C. ↑,
60', Doucoure F. ↓, El Hriti A. ↑,
61', Nassi W. ↓, Fdaouch Z. ↑,
61', Messi R. ↓, Schur K. ↑,
63', Moco Z. 🟨,
73', Irie C. ↓, Souici R. ↑,
79', Botella I. ↓, Fall A. ↑,
80', Risser R. 🟨,
86', Fdaouch Z. 🟨,
90+1', Fofana A. ↓, N'Chobi Y. ↑,
90+4', El Hriti A. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 7).

Red Star is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dijon is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Red Star is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Red Star to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Red Star won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
12.04.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Red Star	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Red Star - Niort	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Cholet - Red Star	1:1 ✺
22.03.24	Red Star - Nancy	1:1 ✺
18.03.24	Villefranche - Red Star	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTTW
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
12.04.24	Dijon - Orleans	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	Versailles - Dijon	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Dijon - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
22.03.24	Épinal - Dijon	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Dijon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
24.11.23	Dijon - Red Star	3:1
French Ligue 2
06.05.16	Red Star - Dijon	3:2
18.12.15	Dijon - Red Star	0:0

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