Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)


	Red Star		Versailles

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.4
	1.72	3.6	4.5
	1.69	3.77	4.98
	1.72	3.7	4.9
	1.65	3.6	4.5
	1.71	3.59	4.63	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)	3.59 ↓ (3.77)	4.64 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
54.5%

Draw
25.6%

Versailles
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

25.1%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Versailles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Versailles than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Red Star - Versailles Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Star will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Avognan W. (G) 29. Benali H. 26. Dembi F. J. 13. Doucoure F. 35. Doucoure R. 7. Durand D. 9. Fall A. 5. Gozzi P. 3. Hachem R. 28. Kouagba L. 25. Ndoye C. (C)	40. Renot S. (G) 13. Akueson G. (C) 12. Altikulac M. 21. Baaloudj M. 14. Basque R. 29. Correia J. 22. Jaques T. 4. Karamoko I. 18. Lefebvre G. 17. Nadje C. 2. Prunier M.
Substitutes
27. Anani A. 17. Botella I. 8. Eickmayer J. 10. Ifnaoui M. 4. Mendy B.	9. Bangoura D. 27. Gibaud P. 7. Hend B. 8. Leborgne J. 10. Lens J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Ndoye C. ⚽, Gozzi P. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Prunier M. ⚽,
42', Dembi F. J. 🟨,
45+1', Benali H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, Nadje C. ⚽,
62', Dembi F. J. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
62', Benali H. ↓, Ifnaoui M. ↑,
67', Correia J. ↓, Bangoura D. ↑,
68', Fall A. ↓, Botella I. ↑,
76', Baaloudj M. ↓, Hend B. ↑,
76', Prunier M. ↓, Lens J. ↑,
79', Kouagba L. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
79', Hachem R. ↓, Anani A. ↑,
83', Akueson G. 🟨,
87', Nadje C. ↓, Leborgne J. ↑,
87', Altikulac M. ↓, Gibaud P. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 9).

Recent matches Red Star is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Versailles is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Red Star is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Red Star won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Red Star won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
29.04.24	Nîmes - Red Star	1:0 ✺
19.04.24	Red Star - Dijon	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Red Star	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Red Star - Niort	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Cholet - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWT
- FC Versailles 78
French Ligue 3
26.04.24	Versailles - Orleans	0:0 ✺
19.04.24	Épinal - Versailles	0:1 ✺
12.04.24	Nîmes - Versailles	0:1 ✺
05.04.24	Versailles - Dijon	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Versailles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
18.12.23	Versailles - Red Star	2:2
02.05.23	Versailles - Red Star	0:3
09.12.22	Red Star - Versailles	0:0
Club Friendly
04.08.20	Versailles - Red Star	0:3

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