The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Redditch United 34.8%
Draw 28.8%
Worcester City 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
25.4%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
24.9%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Redditch United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Redditch United's form might have worsened.
Worcester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Redditch United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Redditch United - Worcester City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Hayward N. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Lutz C. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Brown O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 1 - 3, Sweeney D. ⚽,
67', 1 - 4, Hayward N. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 9).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Worcester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now
Redditch: 0.61% Worcester: 0.39%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Redditch
9
2
4
3
12:13
-1
10
17
Worcester
9
1
4
4
7:12
-5
7
Last Results with these Odds
Redditch United - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.19%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.