Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 22

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria)


	Alessandria		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.15
	3.1	3.3	2.07
	3.1	3	2.16
	3.13	3.18	2.15
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.25	2.96	2.23	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.8)	3.07 ↑ (2.86)	2.16 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
28.8%

Draw
29.4%

Gubbio
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

31.4%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

30.8%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alessandria's performance.

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Alessandria - Gubbio Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alessandria will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Alessandria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gubbio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gubbio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
08.01.23	Virtus Entella - Alessandria	4:2 ✺
23.12.22	Alessandria - Imolese	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Cesena - Alessandria	3:1 ✺
10.12.22	Alessandria - Montevarchi	2:2 ✺
03.12.22	Ancona - Alessandria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
08.01.23	Gubbio - Fermana	1:3 ✺
23.12.22	Montevarchi - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
17.12.22	Gubbio - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Sassari Torres - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
03.12.22	Gubbio - Siena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.22	Gubbio - Alessandria	2:0

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