Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 21

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Gubbio		Ancona

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.9	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.92	3.18	4.85
	1.86	3.18	4.86
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.82	3.2	4.36
	1.87	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.12)	3.17 ↑ (3.12)	4.31 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gubbio
49.5%

Draw
29.1%

Ancona
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.2%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gubbio's performance.

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ancona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ancona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Gubbio - Ancona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gubbio will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vettorel T. (G) 21. Corsinelli F. 4. Tozzuolo A. 31. Pirrello R. 3. Mercadante M. 6. Casolari F. 5. Mercati A. 10. Bulevardi D. (C) 78. Bumbu J. 11. Udoh P. 7. Di Massimo A.	32. Perucchini F. (G) 4. Cella S. 5. Mondonico D. 30. Pellizzari S. 23. Clemente G. 33. Prezioso M. 99. Basso G. 94. Saco C. 3. Martina A. 9. Spagnoli A. (C) 10. Energe A.
Substitutes
99. Bernardotto G. 20. Brambilla A. 18. Chierico L. 23. Dimarco C. 27. Frey D. 77. Greco S. (G) 25. Guerrini V. 19. Morelli G. 90. Portanova D. 8. Rosaia G. 15. Signorini A. 28. Spina M.	19. Agyemang G. 70. Barnaba T. 11. Cioffi A. 8. Gatto E. 80. Gavioli L. 28. Giampaolo D. 90. Moretti F. 21. Paolucci L. 34. Radicchio V. M. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 12. Vitali L. (G)

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 3.

Gubbio is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ancona has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ancona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gubbio is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
10.01.24	Gubbio - Recanatese	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Pineto - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
22.12.23	Rimini - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
09.12.23	Pontedera - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Gubbio - SPAL	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLT
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
07.01.24	Ancona - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
22.12.23	Lucchese - Ancona	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Ancona - Pescara	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Sestri Levante - Ancona	3:2 ✺
02.12.23	Ancona - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.09.23	Ancona - Gubbio	1:2
22.01.23	Gubbio - Ancona	0:1
18.09.22	Ancona - Gubbio	0:1
03.04.22	Ancona - Gubbio	0:2
28.11.21	Gubbio - Ancona	1:1
12.03.17	Gubbio - Ancona	3:2
22.10.16	Ancona - Gubbio	0:2

Upcoming Matches