Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Evandro Almeida (Belem)


	Remo		Confiança

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.1	4.1
	1.65	3.3	5.2
	1.85	3.32	4.68
	1.73	3	4.5
	1.97	3.18	3.78	Watch
	1.81	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)	3.2 (3.2)	4.39 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Remo
50.7%

Draw
28.5%

Confiança
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.8%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Remo - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Remo will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Confiança will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Remo: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vinicius (C) 4. Anderson Uchoa 3. Diego Guerra 14. Diego Ivo 7. Jean Silva 6. Leonan 52. Lucas Marques 10. Muriqui 8. Pablo Roberto 98. Pedro Vitor 11. Rodriguinho	12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 4. Adryan 8. Bruno Camilo 10. Dione 11. Edison Negueba 5. Fabio 6. Felippe Borges 2. Lenon (C) 3. Salazar L. 9. Tcharlles 7. Willians
Substitutes
87. Alvaro 88. Claudinei 77. Fabinho 60. Gustavo Bochecha 56. Henrique Vigia 23. Jonilson 66. Kevin 31. Laranjeira 2. Lucas Mendes 29. Vinicius Kanu 13. Wendel Lomar 95. Ze Carlos (G)	21. Alan Grafite 15. Betinho 16. Capa 18. Cesinha 20. Diego Cardoso 30. Jefferson 13. Julio Ferrari 19. Lucas Vieira 14. Michel Bennech 17. Rafael

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Remo won 3.

Remo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Confiança is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Confiança could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Remo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Confiança to win the game is with odds 4.97.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Remo won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Remo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
26.05.23	Remo - Águia de Marabá	2:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie C
22.05.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Remo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
18.05.23	Águia de Marabá - Remo	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
14.05.23	Remo - Amazonas	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	Remo - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
20.05.23	São Bernardo - Confiança	3:1 ✺
13.05.23	Confiança - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
08.05.23	Confiança - Altos	2:1 ✺
04.05.23	CS Alagoano - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
22.04.23	Confiança - Itabaiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
01.05.22	Confiança - Remo	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
28.11.21	Remo - Confiança	0:0
17.08.21	Confiança - Remo	1:2
Brazilian Serie C
22.07.18	Confiança - Remo	0:2
20.05.18	Remo - Confiança	0:3
06.08.17	Remo - Confiança	2:2
05.06.17	Confiança - Remo	0:1

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