Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 8

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao) (Aracaju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Confiança		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	1.85	3.15	3.9	Watch
	1.89	3.35	3.98
	2.14	2.96	3.71	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.8
	1.88	3.18	3.93	Watch
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.1)	3.11 ↑ (2.98)	3.79 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
46.8%

Draw
29.3%

Figueirense
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Confiança - Figueirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 21. Breiner C. 8. Gabriel Zeca 11. Iago Silva 4. Icaro (C) 9. Joao Pedro 6. Kelvyn 3. Lucas Cunha 2. Mateus Ludke 10. PK 13. Renilson	52. Igo Gabriel (G) 14. Breno 20. Guilherme Vieira 70. Igor Bolt 30. Jean Mangabeira 2. Leo Maia 3. Leonan Santos 9. Lucas Alves 37. Lucas Dias (C) 7. Raynan 66. Ryan Carlos
Substitutes
17. Andrey Quintino 14. Eduardo Moura 20. Fabricio Oya 5. Gustavo Nicola 15. Joao Mandovani 19. Maikon Aquino 16. Matheus Juliao 12. Matheus Silva (G) 18. Paulo Henrique 99. Sassa 7. Wendel 22. Weriton	6. Arthur Henrique 11. Arthur Martins 99. Emerson Galego 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 25. Jhonnathan 77. Joao Choco 82. Jose Carlos 28. Rafinha Potiguar 22. Vitor Ricardo
Coaches
Thiago Gomes	Raul Cabral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Guilherme Vieira ↓, Emerson Galego ↑,
64', Igor Bolt 🟨,
71', Breiner C. ↓, Andrey Quintino ↑,
75', 🟨,
80', Igor Bolt ↓, Joao Choco ↑,
80', Lucas Alves ↓, Jose Carlos ↑,
84', Joao Pedro ↓, Sassa ↑,
87', PK ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
87', Gabriel Zeca ↓, Fabricio Oya ↑,
90+1', Breno ↓, Rafinha Potiguar ↑,
90+1', Raynan ↓, Arthur Martins ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Confiança won 1.

Recent form of Confiança has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Figueirense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Confiança may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Confiança has had a series of home games.

In this match, Confiança is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Confiança won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Confiança won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.26	Confiança - Maranhão	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Confiança - Grêmio	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
10.05.26	Ituano - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.05.26	Confiança - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
02.05.26	Confiança - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
16.05.26	Figueirense - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Amazonas - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Figueirense - Barra Santa Catarina	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Anápolis - Figueirense	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
29.06.25	Figueirense - Confiança	1:1
16.06.24	Figueirense - Confiança	2:0
13.05.23	Confiança - Figueirense	1:0
12.06.22	Figueirense - Confiança	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
01.12.20	Confiança - Figueirense	1:1
29.08.20	Figueirense - Confiança	0:0

Confiança - Figueirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide