Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 11

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Evandro Almeida (Belem)

Referee: Moraes de Sousa A. D. (Bra)


	Remo		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.2	4.1
	1.8	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.46
	1.84	3.33	4.09
	1.73	3.2	4.2
	1.76	3.34	4.37	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 (1.79)	3.29 ↑ (3.03)	4.23 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Remo
50.9%

Draw
27.6%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.9%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

29.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Remo - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 4. Bruno Bispo 2. Diogo Batista 98. Felipinho 7. Giovanni Pavani 22. Jaderson 97. Marco Antonio 16. Paulinho Curua 38. Rafael Castro 12. Raimar 19. Ytalo (C)	32. Geaze (G) 3. Alisson (C) 6. Ernandes 11. Gabryel Martins 14. Igor Dutra 7. Marcelinho 8. Marciel 16. Renan Luis 22. Vinicius Alves 17. Wilker 27. Willian Rocha
Substitutes
31. Adsson 47. Guilherme Cachoeira 35. Helder Santos 56. Henrique Vigia 21. Kelvin 32. Leo Lang (G) 10. Matheus Anjos 11. Pedro Vitor 9. Ribamar 15. Ronald 3. Sheldon 23. Vidal	18. Caio Rangel 13. Geilson Souza 1. Henrique C. (G) 9. Kiuan 5. Lincoln 19. Mattheus Silva 4. Naldo 10. Romarinho 28. Vinicius Paulista
Coaches
Rodrigo Santana	Kobayashi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Ernandes 🟨,
18', 🟨,
18', Willian Rocha ↓, Naldo ↑,
45+5', Geaze 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Wilker ↓, Vinicius Paulista ↑,
46', Felipinho ↓, Matheus Anjos ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Jaderson ⚽,
58', Gabryel Martins ↓, Lincoln ↑,
58', Ernandes ↓, Mattheus Silva ↑,
63', 🟨,
65', Marcelo Rangel 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, Giovanni Pavani ⚽,
69', Marcelinho ↓, Kiuan ↑,
70', Raimar ↓, Vidal ↑,
70', Marco Antonio ↓, Kelvin ↑,
70', Diogo Batista ↓, Helder Santos ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Vinicius Alves ⚽,
82', Rafael Castro 🟨,
83', Jaderson ↓, Adsson ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ferroviário could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Remo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Remo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Remo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie C
24.06.24	ABC - Remo	3:1 ✺
16.06.24	Remo - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
09.06.24	Remo - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
01.06.24	Sampaio Corrêa - Remo	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Remo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLWL
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C
26.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:2 ✺
15.06.24	Athletic Club - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
09.06.24	Botafogo PB - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
01.08.22	Remo - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1
17.10.20	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Remo	1:0
16.08.20	Remo - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1

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