Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 6

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)


	Náutico Capibaribe		Remo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.1	3.75
	2.06	3.02	4.04
	2.06	3.02	4.04
	1.95	3	3.5
	2	2.99	3.82	Watch
	1.98	3.05	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.96)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)	3.79 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
45.9%

Draw
30%

Remo
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

30.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

29.1%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Náutico Capibaribe - Remo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 78. Andrey 17. Cleo Silva 18. Danilo Belao 10. Gustavo Maia 95. Iran 6. Luiz Paulo 9. Paulo Sergio 4. Rafael Vaz 19. Renato 25. Sousa	88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 31. Adsson 7. Giovanni Pavani 47. Guilherme Cachoeira 35. Helder Santos 40. Ligger 16. Paulinho Curua 11. Pedro Vitor 3. Sheldon 23. Vidal 19. Ytalo
Substitutes
80. Bruno Mezenga 35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 36. Diego Matos 43. Guilherme Matos 22. Jeferson Romario (G) 13. Kauan 15. Kayon 21. Leandro Barcia 8. Marco Antonio 20. Patrick Allan 23. Thiago Lopes 26. Wendel Lessa	56. Henrique Vigia 5. Joao Afonso 14. Jonilson 32. Leo Lang (G) 97. Marco Antonio 99. Matheus Lucas 12. Raimar 15. Ronald 29. Vinicius Kanu

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Gustavo Maia ⚽,
13', Sheldon 🟥,
15', Adsson ↓, Jonilson ↑,
22', Sousa 🟨,
26', Danilo Belao 🟨,
35', Helder Santos 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Paulo Sergio ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Marco Antonio ⚽,
54', 3 - 1, Paulo Sergio ⚽,
58', Paulo Sergio 🟨,
60', Andrey ↓, Patrick Allan ↑,
60', Cleo Silva ↓, Leandro Barcia ↑,
67', Luiz Paulo ↓, de Sousa Oliveira T. ↑,
67', Gustavo Maia ↓, Diego Matos ↑,
71', Pedro Vitor ↓, Ronald ↑,
73', Renato ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
79', Giovanni Pavani ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Rafael Vaz ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 14).

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Náutico have a series of guest games.

Náutico will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.24	Volta Redonda - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
12.05.24	Ferroviária - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	ABC - Náutico Capibaribe	0:3 ✺
21.04.24	Náutico Capibaribe - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
10.04.24	Bahia - Náutico Capibaribe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWTL
- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie C
19.05.24	Remo - Tombense	0:0 ✺
12.05.24	Remo - Floresta	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Botafogo PB - Remo	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Athletic Club - Remo	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Remo - Volta Redonda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
23.07.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Remo	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
24.09.21	Remo - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0
26.06.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Remo	1:1
Brazilian Serie C
11.08.18	Remo - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1
09.06.18	Náutico Capibaribe - Remo	3:2

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