Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 17

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Evandro Almeida (Belem)

Referee: Filho A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Remo		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.8	3	Watch
	2.37	2.85	3.1
	2.72	2.78	2.88	Watch
	2.84	2.8	3.07
	2.46	2.61	3.56	Watch
	2.5	2.75	3.3
	2.75	2.75	3	Watch
	2.27	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.32)	2.8 ↓ (3.06)	3.13 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Remo
36.5%

Draw
33.6%

Grêmio Novorizontino
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

31%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Remo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Remo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	46.2%	46.2%

Remo - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Remo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Remo (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Novorizontino (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Remo (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Novorizontino (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 79. Marcelinho 3. Camutanga 27. Kayky Almeida 16. Savio 20. Cantillo V. 99. Janderson 10. Jaderson 8. Matheus Davo 34. Caio Vinicius (C) 32. Pedro Rocha	1. Airton (G) 26. Dantas 37. Cesar Martins 4. Patrick 2. Rodrigo Soares 77. Mayk 5. Jean Irmer (C) 47. Fabio Matheus 20. Airton 11. Robson 10. Matheus Frizzo
Substitutes
31. Dodo 35. Freitas 54. Kawan 77. Maxwell 23. Nathan 48. Nathan Camargo 11. Pedro Castro 2. Pedro Costa 91. PH Gama 22. Regis 21. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 94. Ygor Vinhas (G)	17. Bruno Jose 31. Igor Formiga 93. Jordi (G) 38. Leo Natel 19. Leo Tocantins 9. Lucca 6. Luis Oyama 28. Marlon 7. Pablo Dyego 3. Rafael Donato 40. Rai Ramos 8. Willian Farias
Coaches
Toni Oliveira	Umberto Louzer

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Matheus Davo ⚽,
15', Matheus Frizzo 🟨,
29', Jean Irmer 🟨,
35', Marcelinho 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Robson ⚽, Fabio Matheus (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jean Irmer ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
47', Pedro Rocha 🟨,
54', Camutanga 🟨,
54', Jaderson ↓, Regis ↑,
55', Cantillo V. ↓, Nathan Camargo ↑,
61', Airton ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
61', Mayk ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
64', Robson ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
69', Janderson ↓, Maxwell ↑,
69', Caio Vinicius ↓, Freitas ↑,
83', Camutanga ↓, PH Gama ↑,
89', Fabio Matheus ↓, Marlon ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Remo: Felipe Vizeu (Inactive) Giovanni Pavani (Yellow Cards) Luan Martins (Yellow Cards) Pedro Rocha (Inactive) Reynaldo (Inactive)

There will not play in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca (Inactive) Renato Palm (Inactive) Vitinho (Inactive)

There are questionable in Remo: PH Gama (Inactive)

There are questionable in Novorizontino: Waguininho (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie B
13.07.25	Chapecoense - Remo	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Remo - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Athletic Club - Remo	1:2 ✺
21.06.25	Remo - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Remo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWLL
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
12.07.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
06.07.25	Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
23.06.25	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTTLW

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