Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 14

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Novo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	7.5	Watch
	1.5	3.6	6.75
	1.46	4.01	9.02
				Watch
	1.55	3.5	7
	1.56	3.66	6.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)	3.75 (3.75)	7.41 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
62.4%

Draw
25%

Amazonas
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

24.1%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

23.3%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Amazonas will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Airton (G) 31. Igor Formiga 37. Cesar Martins 4. Patrick 47. Fabio Matheus 5. Jean Irmer (C) 28. Marlon 10. Matheus Frizzo 17. Bruno Jose 38. Leo Natel 7. Pablo Dyego	1. Pedro Caracoci (G) 57. Matheus Blade 4. Rafael Vitor 6. Fabiano (C) 58. Thomas Luciano 5. Vasquez L. 26. Gabriel Domingos 10. Rafael Tavares 35. Durmisi R. 7. Ramirez Kevin 8. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
20. Airton 16. Antony 26. Dantas 93. Jordi (G) 19. Leo Tocantins 9. Lucca 6. Luis Oyama 2. Rodrigo Soares 22. Ruiz O. 15. Tavinho 21. Victor Gabriel 8. Willian Farias	15. Akapo C. 18. Cocote 20. Dener 29. Fernando Neto 9. Luan Silva 2. Rafael Monteiro 77. Robertinho 11. Torres J. 27. Victor Hugo 3. Wellington Nascimento 33. Ze Carlos (G)
Coaches
Umberto Louzer	Guilherme Alves

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Ramirez Kevin ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
12', Marlon 🟨,
28', Patrick 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Matheus Frizzo ⚽, Bruno Jose (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matheus Blade ↓, Wellington Nascimento ↑,
52', Gabriel Domingos 🟨,
56', Rafael Tavares ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
56', Gabriel Domingos ↓, Robertinho ↑,
60', Bruno Jose ↓, Airton ↑,
60', Marlon ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
65', Durmisi R. ↓, Rafael Monteiro ↑,
68', Pablo Dyego ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
68', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Tavinho ↑,
76', Leo Natel ↓, Lucca ↑,
78', Wellington Nascimento 🟨,
78', Pedro Caracoci 🟨,
82', Thomas Luciano ↓, Akapo C. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Novorizontino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Amazonas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Novorizontino is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Novorizontino: Nathan Fogaca (Inactive) Rafael Donato (Inactive) Renato Palm (Inactive) Robson (Injury) Vitinho (Inactive) Waguininho (Inactive)

There will not play in Amazonas: Alyson (Inactive) Bruno Ramires (Inactive) Joao Lopes (Inactive) Renan (Injury)

There are questionable in Amazonas: Diego Borges (Inactive) Gabriel Domingos (Injury) Ze Gabriel (Inactive)

We predict that Novorizontino will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Novorizontino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
23.06.25	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Cuiabá	3:0 ✺
06.06.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
30.05.25	Vila Nova - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - Paysandu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
22.06.25	Amazonas - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Criciúma - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
09.06.25	Amazonas - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Chapecoense - Amazonas	4:0 ✺
25.05.25	Amazonas - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
04.10.24	Amazonas - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0
18.06.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Amazonas	1:1

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