Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 16

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
Usa	Fanatiz


	Chapecoense		Remo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.85	Watch
	2.48	3.05	2.92	Watch
	2.59	3.25	3.03
	2.61	3.01	3.02	Watch
	2.4	3	2.88
	2.55	3.17	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.25)	3.11 ↓ (3.19)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
37.6%

Draw
30.4%

Remo
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.2%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.9%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Chapecoense - Remo Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Remo will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Remo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Anderson (G) 3. Eduardo Doma 33. Bruno Leonardo 4. Joao Paulo 2. Marcos Vinicius 99. Rafael Carvalheira 27. Camilo Reijers (C) 91. Bruno Pacheco 97. Enio 7. Marcinho 18. Neto Pessoa	88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 79. Marcelinho 13. Marllon (C) 18. Tchamba D. 98. Mayk 28. Ze Welison 8. Patrick 22. Yago Pikachu 15. Vitor Bueno 37. Jaja 11. Alef Manga
Substitutes
37. Clar W. 19. David Antunes 10. Giovanni Augusto 22. Higor Meritao 77. Italo 20. Jean Carlos 5. Joao Vitor 31. Mauricio Garcez 1. Rafael Santos (G) 70. Rubens Ricoldi 17. Vinicius Balieiro 35. Vinicius Eduardo	24. Cufre B. 26. David Braga 33. Diego Hernandez 99. Gabriel Poveda 7. Giovanni Pavani 97. Ivan (G) 10. Jaderson 5. Leo Andrade 2. Matheus Alexandre 14. Picco L. 17. Tassano C. 94. Ygor Vinhas (G)
Coaches
Fabio Matias	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Yago Pikachu ⚽, Vitor Bueno (A),
24', 1 - 1, Neto Pessoa ⚽, Bruno Pacheco (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 2 - 1, Rafael Carvalheira ⚽, Neto Pessoa (A),
51', 2 - 2, Jaja ⚽,
59', Vitor Bueno ↓, Picco L. ↑,
59', Patrick ↓, David Braga ↑,
63', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
65', Camilo Reijers 🟨,
69', Marcelinho 🟨,
74', Eduardo Doma ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
74', Enio ↓, Mauricio Garcez ↑,
76', Yago Pikachu ↓, Matheus Alexandre ↑,
84', Neto Pessoa ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
84', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
85', Alef Manga ↓, Gabriel Poveda ↑,
85', Jaja ↓, Diego Hernandez ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Bruno Leonardo (Own goal),
90+2', Joao Paulo 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Remo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Chapecoense: Bolasie Y. (Yellow Cards) Kauan (Inactive) Rafael Thyere (Injury) Robert Conceicao (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Remo: Gabriel Taliari (Hamstring Injury) Patrick de Paula (Inactive) Ze Ricardo (Red Card)

There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bruno Leonardo (Injury)

There are questionable in Remo: Eduardo Melo (Hamstring Injury) Freitas (Inactive) Joao Lucas (Knee Injury) Kayky Almeida (Knee Injury) Tachtsidis P. (Inactive) Thalisson (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Chapecoense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Remo	30	5	10	15	33:48	-15	25
20	Chapecoense-SC	28	3	9	16	29:57	-28	18

Last Results with these Odds

Chapecoense - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Remo - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.54%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Chapecoense - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Mirassol - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
06.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Chapecoense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.04.26	Chapecoense - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WTWLW
- Clube Do Remo
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Remo - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Remo - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Remo	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Remo - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Bahia - Remo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
02.11.25	Remo - Chapecoense	1:1
13.07.25	Chapecoense - Remo	1:1

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