Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 14

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Athletic Club		Remo

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.9	Watch
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.04	3.29	4.13
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.7
	1.98	3.25	4.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.48)	3.21 ↑ (3.19)	3.85 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Club
46.5%

Draw
29.2%

Remo
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Club's performance.

Remo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Remo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Club that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Remo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Remo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Athletic Club - Remo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Remo will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Remo (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Remo (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Remo (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Remo (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Adriel (G) 2. Douglas Pele 13. Jhonatan Silva 15. Martinez F. 43. Marcelo Ajul 37. Amorim 84. Rodrigo Gelado 38. Sandry 19. Neto Costa (C) 10. David Braga 77. Max	88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 79. Marcelinho 16. Savio 5. Luan Martins 4. Klaus 29. Reynaldo (C) 99. Janderson 7. Giovanni Pavani 15. Adailton 11. Pedro Castro 32. Pedro Rocha
Substitutes
27. Alason Carioca 8. Andrey 5. Diego Fumaca 11. Ezequiel 14. Fabricio Isidoro 25. Glauco (G) 23. Gustavao 33. Leo Dourado 21. Tavares R. 7. Welinton Torrao 52. Wesley Gasolina 6. Yuri	3. Camutanga 31. Dodo 9. Felipe Vizeu 10. Jaderson 27. Kayky Almeida 26. Marrony 8. Matheus Davo 77. Maxwell 2. Pedro Costa 21. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 94. Ygor Vinhas (G)
Coaches
Rojas R.	Toni Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Jhonatan Silva 🟨,
38', Reynaldo 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', Giovanni Pavani ↓, Jaderson ↑,
55', Adailton ↓, Felipe Vizeu ↑,
62', David Braga ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
62', Neto Costa ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
69', Marcelinho ↓, Pedro Costa ↑,
69', Janderson ↓, Marrony ↑,
70', Reynaldo ↓, Camutanga ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Tavares R. ⚽, Amorim (A),
74', Amorim 🟨,
74', Amorim ↓, Diego Fumaca ↑,
74', Max ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
76', Adriel 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Pedro Rocha (Pen),
79', Martinez F. ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
82', Luan Martins 🟨,
90+3', Camutanga 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Pedro Rocha ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).

In recent matches, Athletic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Remo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Remo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Athletic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Athletic: Edson Miranda (Inactive) Lincoln (Inactive) Sidimar (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Remo: Caio Vinicius (Inactive) PH Gama (Inactive) Regis (Inactive)

There are questionable in Athletic: Tavares R. (Injury) Welinton Torrao (Injury)

There are questionable in Remo: Maxwell (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Including home match between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
23.06.25	Goiás - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Athletic Club - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
09.06.25	Amazonas - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Athletic Club - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Athletico Paranaense - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWLLL
- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie B
21.06.25	Remo - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Athletico Paranaense - Remo	2:1 ✺
08.06.25	Remo - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	CRB Maceio - Remo	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Remo - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
27.04.24	Athletic Club - Remo	3:1

Upcoming Matches